NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.8 [692]		MVP	Julius Randle (LAL): +12.9%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	1.2 [1022]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	10	76%	0.20	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	14	65%	0.15	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Caruso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	13	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	11	32%	-0.08	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	8	75%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	76%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	19	60%	0.11	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	30.3	11.8	29.2	0.8	31.0	133.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.6%

GSW +16.3%

GSW +20.3%

LAL -19.6%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	14.7	102.9	113.6	107.5
season	13.7	13.7		105.7	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	11.5	17.0	13.6	13.6
GSW	13.5	13.7	14.3	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-13	15	12.8	13.7	-0.90	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Tyler Ennis	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-14	17	14.4	13.3	1.07	15.6	14.0	1.63
Travis Wear	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-12	13	14.2	13.3	0.87	15.9	13.8	2.09
Derrick Williams	19	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-6	1	12.5	13.8	-1.32	10.9	15.3	-4.46
Alex Caruso	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	13.8	13.4	0.39	12.9	15.6	-2.66
Isaiah Thomas	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	13.5	13.7	-0.24	15.0	12.7	2.28
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	13.4	13.9	-0.49	14.8	13.7	1.10
Brook Lopez	78	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	13.8	12.7	1.10	14.6	13.9	0.75
Julius Randle	69	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	13.4	13.9	-0.53	15.0	13.0	1.97
Lonzo Ball	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	0	-11	13.4	14.2	-0.82	13.9	16.8	-2.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	52	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-6	23	14.9	13.9	1.00	14.3	12.8	1.50
Nick Young	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	4	3	15.6	12.4	3.11	13.3	14.0	-0.67
Omri Casspi	44	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	0	11	14.6	14.3	0.32	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Quinn Cook	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	4	3	15.9	12.8	3.04	14.2	12.8	1.45
Zaza Pachulia	48	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	15.5	13.4	2.12	13.6	13.5	0.07
Andre Iguodala	50	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	5	1	12.9	15.9	-3.01	13.5	13.6	-0.01
Kevin Durant	75	75	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	9	-7	14.3	14.7	-0.42	13.6	13.5	0.02
Shaun Livingston	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	12.8	15.9	-3.04	12.8	14.2	-1.45
JaVale McGee	29	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	6	-1	11.9	15.4	-3.45	14.3	13.2	1.05
Jordan Bell	43	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	16	-21	13.7	14.9	-1.30	12.7	14.1	-1.42
Chris Boucher	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	19.0	14.3	4.73	11.0	13.6	-2.60
Damian Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	19.0	14.3	4.73	11.0	13.6	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, UTA 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NYK 83, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 71, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	94.6%