NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	5.2 [782]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +12.6%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.2 [1098]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -27.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	13	66%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.00	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	0.08	13	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	8	43%	-0.05	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	13	65%	0.18	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.06	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.29	0.01	-0.01	20	17%	-0.21	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	37.0	17.5	28.2	1.8	30.3	144.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.1%

HOU +5.8%

NYK -2.3%

HOU +14.1%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.6	91.2	98.9	104.4
season	15.7	16.1		102.1	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.4		101.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.1	16.3	17.4	15.6	16.6
HOU	16.3	13.7	13.3	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	27	26	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-12	17	16.3	16.7	-0.45	14.0	15.5	-1.50
David Lee	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-11	15	14.5	16.7	-2.21	13.2	15.1	-1.94
Jackie Butler	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-8	9	15.9	16.8	-0.90	16.0	14.8	1.19
Maurice Taylor	60	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.4	1.81	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Nate Robinson	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	15.6	17.1	-1.47	15.3	14.9	0.44
Qyntel Woods	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-7	7	16.1	17.9	-1.86	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Jalen Rose	49	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	4	-15	17.6	15.5	2.03	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Channing Frye	27	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	15.6	17.1	-1.51	16.1	14.5	1.64
Quentin Richardson	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-6	5	16.5	17.0	-0.50	15.3	14.5	0.78
Jamal Crawford	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	16.9	15.7	1.23	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Eddy Curry	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	6	-19	17.2	16.0	1.26	15.6	14.4	1.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	14.7	16.2	-1.48	16.9	15.5	1.34
David Wesley	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	15.4	13.9	1.45	16.6	16.8	-0.25
Stromile Swift	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	15.1	15.0	0.14	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Yao Ming	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	6	-5	15.2	14.6	0.54	16.9	15.9	1.00
Luther Head	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	0	7	14.5	15.3	-0.80	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Keith Bogans	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	3	1	15.7	14.7	0.96	15.7	17.1	-1.44
Tracy McGrady	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	7	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.41	17.2	14.8	2.35
Dikembe Mutombo	24	22	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	1	5	15.2	15.0	0.29	16.2	16.8	-0.57
Juwan Howard	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	4	-1	15.0	15.1	-0.14	17.0	15.9	1.08
Ryan Bowen	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	0.0	15.2	-15.20	9.0	16.7	-7.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 106, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
BKN 96, CHA 111	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%