NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	4.6 [865]		MVP	James Robinson (LAC): +7.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	80		Comeback	1.4 [370]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -13.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Madkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	24	51%	0.01	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.04	0.01	15	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	53%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	16	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.5	28.3	15.5	24.5	1.6	36.0	128.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.3%

GSW +7.5%

GSW +19.3%

GSW +0.4%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.6	100.0	86.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.5		92.9	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.8	14.0	16.0	15.5	16.0
LAC	16.4	14.2	15.3	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	82	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	0	12	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.7	10.0	5.74
Jason Caffey	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	15.3	19.4	-4.11	15.4	14.1	1.28
Tony Delk	40	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-6	24	15.0	16.7	-1.60	15.8	14.7	1.04
Felton Spencer	19	17	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	15.4	16.1	-0.67	16.1	15.0	1.14
Muggsy Bogues	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	2	8	15.4	16.6	-1.22	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Gerald Madkins	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	10	-8	16.6	15.4	1.22	16.3	14.3	2.01
Erick Dampier	60	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	18	-24	17.5	13.1	4.44	14.7	16.2	-1.47
Adonal Foyle	17	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	9	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.24	15.8	15.0	0.83
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	73	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	17	-22	16.0	15.7	0.34	14.0	19.4	-5.44

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Collins	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	11.0	15.2	-4.23	18.0	15.9	2.07
Lorenzen Wright	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-7	2	14.7	15.5	-0.80	16.2	15.8	0.43
Darrick Martin	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	13.8	16.4	-2.59	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Maurice Taylor	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	14.9	15.5	-0.62	14.6	17.3	-2.66
James Robinson	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-9	6	14.3	18.3	-4.07	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Charles Smith	21	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	18.3	14.3	4.07	16.5	15.8	0.67
Rodney Rogers	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-7	2	15.1	15.3	-0.22	16.3	15.4	0.88
Pooh Richardson	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	16.4	13.8	2.59	16.6	15.3	1.31
Ike Austin	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-6	0	15.4	14.1	1.33	16.1	15.4	0.66
Lamond Murray	56	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	15.6	14.5	1.11	16.4	15.3	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0	95.1%
NOH 97, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
BOS 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%