NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	93		Excitement	5.4 [709]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (MIA): +7.3%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	1.6 [505]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -17.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	73%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	21	60%	0.16	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	10	38%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	4	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	18	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	63%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.06	11	62%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	20	28%	-0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.6	28.1	18.8	28.4	3.7	40.2	148.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +27.2%

MIA +7.4%

NYK -4.0%

MIA +15.6%

MIA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.3	101.1	94.6	106.0
season	16.2	14.7		104.4	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.1	15.8	14.2	16.7	15.9
NYK	15.0	16.2	16.5	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-4	14	15.2	17.3	-2.10	16.0	14.3	1.70
Dwyane Wade	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	5	-4	14.9	20.9	-6.08	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Mario Chalmers	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	5	-4	15.9	15.9	0.08	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Jermaine O'Neal	49	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	1	4	15.0	17.0	-2.04	15.5	15.2	0.27
Udonis Haslem	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	2	2	15.8	16.1	-0.32	14.6	16.8	-2.18
Michael Beasley	62	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	5	-4	17.7	12.1	5.61	16.6	13.1	3.51
Carlos Arroyo	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	15.9	15.9	-0.08	17.0	14.3	2.69
Daequan Cook	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	21.5	14.8	6.64	16.6	15.2	1.39
Joel Anthony	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	5	-4	12.2	16.7	-4.51	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Dorell Wright	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	10	-14	17.3	15.2	2.10	14.3	16.0	-1.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	16.6	14.3	2.34	15.6	16.2	-0.53
Larry Hughes	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-3	0	14.9	15.7	-0.82	16.5	15.6	0.92
Jonathan Bender	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	2	-10	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Wilson Chandler	73	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-10	14	15.1	16.5	-1.36	15.3	18.5	-3.21
Al Harrington	61	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-7	8	15.4	15.4	-0.04	17.0	14.0	3.03
Danilo Gallinari	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-6	6	15.5	14.7	0.74	16.3	13.3	3.00
Jared Jeffries	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.0	0.70	15.0	16.9	-1.91
David Lee	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.8	16.7	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.1%
SAS 104, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
NOH 99, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.6%