NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	5.2 [771]		MVP	David West (NOH): +17.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	1.4 [971]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -12.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	21	60%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
James Posey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Hilton Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.02	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.03	-0.06	18	32%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	28.7	15.7	25.3	1.8	27.4	127.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +44.1%

NOH +9.3%

NOH +3.5%

LAC -8.9%

NOH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.5	103.1	92.6	106.4
season	16.6	15.7		105.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	16.0	14.9	18.2	16.0
LAC	14.6	16.8	13.9	12.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-5	22	15.9	16.0	-0.11	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Chris Paul	74	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-4	20	15.7	16.7	-0.94	14.5	13.7	0.80
Peja Stojakovic	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-1	14	16.1	15.8	0.29	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Tyson Chandler	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	0	12	16.3	15.3	0.99	14.4	14.2	0.26
Rasual Butler	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	10	-8	16.5	15.2	1.30	13.8	15.1	-1.21
James Posey	57	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	5	2	16.1	15.8	0.28	14.9	13.5	1.41
Hilton Armstrong	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	12	-12	15.3	16.3	-0.99	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Devin Brown	41	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	14	-16	15.3	16.5	-1.16	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Julian Wright	26	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	17	-22	16.0	15.9	0.11	14.5	14.3	0.21

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	7	8	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-14	16	18.3	14.0	4.26	15.0	16.0	-1.05
Steve Novak	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-15	18	14.9	14.1	0.79	16.9	15.6	1.24
Brian Skinner	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	21.2	14.0	7.22	11.5	16.2	-4.65
Paul Davis	13	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	12.8	14.6	-1.73	13.9	16.3	-2.48
Mike Taylor	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-7	2	14.8	14.1	0.71	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Marcus Camby	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-8	4	13.0	16.7	-3.66	17.1	14.0	3.13
Eric Gordon	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	14.0	15.4	-1.45	16.4	14.7	1.66
Baron Davis	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	14.5	13.7	0.72	16.1	15.1	0.98
Al Thornton	92	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	14.4	11.5	2.90	15.8	22.0	-6.17
Chris Kaman	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.01	-17	5	-22	14.6	12.9	1.69	15.6	17.4	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%