NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	4.4 [951]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Comeback	1.4 [552]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -8.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.03	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	64%	0.11	5	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	22	45%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.0	30.1	18.6	27.0	2.7	33.2	141.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.9%

DET +5.2%

DET +8.6%

CLE -6.6%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.4	103.4	90.7	104.5
season	16.8	16.0		106.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	17.7	16.8	15.8	16.6
CLE	16.6	16.6	19.2	14.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-1	14	16.3	18.0	-1.69	17.0	15.2	1.86
Chauncey Billups	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	1	10	16.5	16.9	-0.35	17.1	15.1	2.02
Rasheed Wallace	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	16.3	17.3	-1.02	17.1	15.6	1.41
Antonio McDyess	38	37	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	6	0	16.7	16.5	0.21	17.0	16.6	0.42
Richard Hamilton	66	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	2	8	16.6	16.6	-0.01	16.6	17.1	-0.41
Lindsey Hunter	29	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	10	-8	16.3	16.7	-0.43	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Jason Maxiell	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.18	10	2	8	14.8	16.8	-2.00	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Chris Webber	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	15	-18	16.8	16.2	0.58	16.6	17.0	-0.40
Carlos Delfino	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	18.2	16.1	2.11	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Dale Davis	7	6	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	12	-12	19.1	16.3	2.81	17.3	16.7	0.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	16.1	16.8	-0.67	18.6	16.3	2.22
Donyell Marshall	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	16.0	17.6	-1.62	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Daniel Gibson	31	31	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-4	-4	17.8	16.1	1.63	17.4	16.1	1.23
Drew Gooden	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-3	-6	17.4	16.0	1.43	17.0	16.1	0.98
Anderson Varejao	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-8	4	17.4	16.5	0.85	16.1	16.7	-0.65
Eric Snow	21	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	17.2	16.6	0.67	16.5	16.6	-0.12
Sasha Pavlovic	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-8	4	15.9	17.9	-1.94	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Larry Hughes	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	16.7	16.9	-0.19	16.3	17.6	-1.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	16.6	17.1	-0.55	16.8	16.0	0.86
LeBron James	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	0	-12	16.8	16.1	0.67	16.3	18.6	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NOH 99, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
PHI 120, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%