NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	120		Excitement	5.3 [794]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +18.7%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.6 [421]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -20.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	12	83%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	17	67%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	6	92%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	19	55%	0.13	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.04	0.06	10	50%	-0.06	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.03	0.06	17	75%	0.17	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	20	37%	-0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.3	23.4	15.7	26.2	2.7	28.0	122.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.2%

PHI +5.1%

PHI +10.4%

IND -17.3%

PHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.3	118.8	95.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.5		110.9	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		105.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.5	14.6	15.6	15.6	14.5
IND	14.2	13.1	15.0	13.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	71	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	6	12	14.1	15.4	-1.23	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Joel Embiid	75	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	6	12	14.1	15.6	-1.50	13.5	15.6	-2.17
Wilson Chandler	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	10	4	13.9	15.9	-2.02	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Ben Simmons	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	11	2	14.7	14.1	0.54	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Mike Muscala	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	5	14	14.5	14.5	-0.05	13.0	14.9	-1.85
Jimmy Butler	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	13	-2	15.1	13.0	2.14	14.3	13.3	0.93
T.J. McConnell	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	15	-6	14.5	14.5	0.03	15.8	12.7	3.18
Jonah Bolden	26	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	16	-8	15.0	14.3	0.67	14.8	13.8	1.06
Landry Shamet	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.10	6	18	-12	15.9	13.9	1.95	14.4	13.8	0.58
Furkan Korkmaz	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	10.7	14.6	-3.96	13.0	14.0	-1.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	24	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-24	24	14.6	13.8	0.81	15.5	14.2	1.25
TJ Leaf	12	13	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-21	18	12.7	14.2	-1.52	14.9	14.4	0.48
Aaron Holiday	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	13.0	14.0	-1.03	10.7	14.6	-3.96
Alize Johnson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	13.0	14.0	-1.03	10.7	14.6	-3.96
Tyreke Evans	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-22	20	14.3	13.9	0.37	15.5	14.1	1.42
Domantas Sabonis	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-13	2	14.4	13.7	0.67	14.8	14.3	0.53
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-18	12	14.0	14.0	0.06	14.9	13.5	1.35
Cory Joseph	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-15	6	14.7	13.5	1.23	14.9	14.2	0.68
Darren Collison	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-7	-10	13.8	14.4	-0.59	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Thaddeus Young	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-7	-10	13.6	14.8	-1.14	14.7	14.1	0.67
Myles Turner	70	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	0	-24	14.0	14.1	-0.17	13.8	16.0	-2.18
Victor Oladipo	72	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.16	-23	-1	-22	13.9	14.3	-0.37	14.1	15.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%