NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	80		Excitement	10.4 [38]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +21.7%
Boston Celtics	82		Comeback	3.0 [298]		LVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): -35.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	6	63%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.03
Dan Schayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	19	42%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.02	6	8%	-0.08	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	7	55%	-0.14	4	-0.11	8	25%	-0.28
Kevin Ollie	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	6	44%	-0.14	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.35	-0.03	-0.33	-0.01	21	44%	-0.35	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	17	76%	0.37	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,0.1	0.10	-0.08	0.15	-0.03	17	41%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Hanson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	16	31%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.20	-0.00	9	22%	-0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	26.4	14.8	22.1	2.5	34.7	0.8	20.4	147.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.6%

BOS +14.5%

BOS +8.0%

ORL -6.2%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.2	15.3	15.6	81.6	83.7	102.5
season	16.7	15.1		100.3	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	15.9	16.0	16.4	19.9	20.1	17.2
BOS	13.6	14.0	17.1	15.3	19.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	42	44	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.06	10	-12	22	18.0	16.6	1.37	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Gerald Wilkins	28	27	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-7	12	19.2	16.4	2.78	14.6	15.5	-0.91
David Benoit	23	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-2	2	21.5	15.9	5.60	15.0	15.3	-0.39
Horace Grant	85	86	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-9	16	16.1	24.5	-8.38	15.2	15.7	-0.56
Dan Schayes	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	18.3	16.9	1.45	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Derek Strong	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	16.8	18.2	-1.44	16.0	13.5	2.46
Mark Price	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	8	-18	16.0	18.3	-2.30	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Nick Anderson	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	2	-6	16.3	22.2	-5.91	15.4	14.4	1.01
Bo Outlaw	82	81	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	13	-28	17.4	15.9	1.50	15.1	15.8	-0.62

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	42	42	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.57	3	-1	4	14.0	16.2	-2.15	18.4	16.3	2.16
Walter McCarty	32	33	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	14.0	15.8	-1.82	14.2	18.7	-4.45
Ron Mercer	90	91	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	4	-6	15.5	12.0	3.54	17.7	11.0	6.67
Antoine Walker	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	16.1	12.5	3.63	17.2	17.2	0.04
Greg Minor	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	7	-12	15.0	15.6	-0.64	18.1	16.0	2.01
Travis Knight	58	57	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	-6	14	14.8	15.9	-1.17	17.8	16.4	1.38
Dana Barros	90	90	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	15.5	12.5	3.00	16.8	21.4	-4.55
Zan Tabak	37	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	5	-8	16.7	14.4	2.28	15.4	18.2	-2.85
Tyus Edney	7	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	0	2	14.1	15.3	-1.20	19.0	17.0	1.99
Reggie Hanson	3	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	1	0	7.7	15.5	-7.83	18.5	17.2	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, UTA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.85,0.83,1	89.7%
WAS 108, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	88.9%
DAL 106, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.74,1	88.7%