NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	8.6 [139]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +51.2%
Utah Jazz	123		Comeback	1.2 [735]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.11	0.41	0.01	18	57%	0.51	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	8	88%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.02	16	68%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.07	-0.02	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	33	43%	-0.10	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.12	-0.00	13	56%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.04	0.06	13	85%	0.27	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	4	88%	0.20	4	-0.12	9	78%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	3	44%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.10	-0.01	15	40%	0.14	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.08
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.4	3.7	38.7	18.0	27.0	2.8	39.6	1.8	18.1	179.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.9%

UTA +31.4%

UTA +2.3%

LAL -10.1%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.4	113.9	118.3	105.7
season	14.6	15.5		110.6	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.5	15.8	16.2	17.2	14.2	15.9
UTA	12.2	16.2	17.3	17.1	12.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	16.5	15.9	0.64	16.2	15.0	1.20
Luke Walton	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-16	24	14.2	17.6	-3.38	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Sasha Vujacic	47	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-11	14	16.2	15.6	0.56	15.3	15.0	0.33
Pau Gasol	91	94	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	16.0	15.3	0.68	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	29	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	16.6	15.7	0.91	15.0	15.2	-0.17
DJ Mbenga	5	5	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.6	15.9	0.72	18.6	14.9	3.65
Derek Fisher	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-9	10	16.9	14.9	2.04	16.3	13.9	2.37
Kobe Bryant	90	92	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.9	0.00	14.8	17.7	-2.87
Jordan Farmar	36	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	11	-30	15.9	15.9	0.05	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Lamar Odom	98	100	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	15.8	20.7	-4.90	15.1	16.7	-1.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	91	88	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	2	4	15.2	14.4	0.85	15.9	16.2	-0.37
Carlos Boozer	87	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-2	12	14.6	18.1	-3.51	16.0	15.4	0.57
Ronnie Brewer	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-3	14	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Andrei Kirilenko	75	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	0	8	14.9	15.7	-0.74	16.1	15.4	0.77
Deron Williams	86	85	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.16	3	5	-2	14.7	17.4	-2.74	16.0	15.2	0.79
Ronnie Price	19	17	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	5	-2	16.5	14.8	1.71	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Matt Harpring	28	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	16.2	14.7	1.44	15.9	15.9	-0.07
Paul Millsap	30	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	8	-8	16.5	14.6	1.89	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Kyle Korver	57	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	11	-14	15.9	14.2	1.70	16.3	15.5	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	90.6%
SAC 110, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.78,0.99,1	90.2%