NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	8.9 [112]		MVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): +20.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.6 [441]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -14.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.01
Terry Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.06	0.02	13	45%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Lawrence Moten	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	23	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Harvey Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	12	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.14	0.03	25	48%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	24	44%	-0.01	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.10	-0.04	14	67%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.07
Lee Mayberry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.14	0.01	13	66%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	10	57%	0.03	7	-0.18	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	22.7	15.0	25.2	2.5	34.2	1.5	19.4	144.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +52.4%

VAN +12.0%

VAN +17.2%

WAS -31.1%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	VAN	NBA	WAS	VAN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.6	102.9	104.8	102.5
season	15.1	15.1		102.8	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		109.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.1	18.1	17.3	14.1	14.3	15.7
VAN	11.6	14.6	14.7	18.0	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	39	38	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.06	9	-11	20	13.3	17.1	-3.73	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Lawrence Moten	15	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-6	10	12.9	16.1	-3.20	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Darvin Ham	4	2	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	21.5	15.4	6.05	7.0	14.8	-7.76
Ben Wallace	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-1	0	15.6	15.9	-0.36	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Harvey Grant	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-6	10	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.6	13.1	2.49
Calbert Cheaney	90	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-2	2	15.8	15.1	0.63	15.2	10.1	5.11
Rod Strickland	91	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.8	14.8	1.03	14.5	15.6	-1.15
Terry Davis	70	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	7	-16	16.1	14.8	1.31	13.7	16.2	-2.47
Tracy Murray	79	80	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.66	-9	7	-16	16.5	13.1	3.45	14.8	14.1	0.70

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	69	69	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.44	18	-16	34	13.8	16.1	-2.29	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Bryant Reeves	64	61	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.48	9	-7	16	13.5	16.3	-2.84	16.2	14.9	1.32
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	-2	6	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.2	17.0	-1.88
Pete Chilcutt	34	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	-3	8	16.5	13.7	2.84	16.4	15.3	1.04
Lee Mayberry	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-8	18	14.9	14.5	0.43	18.6	14.3	4.39
Otis Thorpe	54	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	-4	10	16.0	13.2	2.82	16.1	15.2	0.89
Antonio Daniels	76	73	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	13	-24	14.5	14.9	-0.40	14.1	19.2	-5.05
George Lynch	32	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	13	-24	15.8	14.1	1.78	15.9	15.6	0.30
Blue Edwards	47	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.32	-14	16	-30	16.0	13.5	2.48	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Tony Massenburg	40	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	8	-14	12.5	15.9	-3.41	15.4	15.8	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, UTA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.85,0.83,1	92.2%
CLE 110, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.83,1,1	89.9%
OKC 113, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.96,1	89.5%