NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	8.5 [142]		MVP	Matt Harpring (CLE): +19.0%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	1.4 [893]		LVP	Chris Gatling (CLE): -25.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.02	0.15	-0.02	16	62%	0.27	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Trajan Langdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.06	0.05	17	62%	0.00	6	-0.16	14	64%	-0.06
Lamond Murray	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	17	47%	-0.10	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.03
Chris Gatling	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.09	-0.15	0.02	17	38%	-0.17	1	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	20	62%	0.17	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.08
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	11	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.05
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.00	21	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	0.7	28.3	15.5	30.6	1.7	31.2	1.5	15.4	148.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +15.8%

CHH +28.9%

CLE -23.3%

CHH +23.3%

CHH +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.5	101.9	107.5	100.9
season	15.3	15.8		98.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	12.6	14.4	15.0	13.6	14.5	13.9
CHH	14.5	17.7	13.8	17.0	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	81	80	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.04	13	-18	31	13.7	14.8	-1.16	15.3	16.7	-1.47
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	79	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.01	10	-15	25	13.4	15.3	-1.83	15.6	15.7	-0.05
Chris Mihm	34	34	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-10	15	13.6	14.1	-0.43	15.9	15.5	0.43
Lamond Murray	84	81	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-15	25	13.3	16.2	-2.86	15.9	14.9	1.00
Andre Miller	82	81	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.28	7	-12	19	13.1	16.7	-3.57	16.0	14.7	1.26
Robert Traylor	19	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	5	-15	15.7	13.6	2.11	15.7	15.6	0.11
Trajan Langdon	19	20	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	6	-17	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.9	15.6	0.38
Brevin Knight	26	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	7	-19	16.7	13.1	3.57	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Chris Gatling	74	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.36	-10	5	-15	14.1	13.6	0.43	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Cedric Henderson	32	33	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.29	-22	17	-39	16.0	13.1	2.88	15.8	15.6	0.16

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	34	32	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-12	29	15.5	15.7	-0.26	14.9	13.6	1.32
Lee Nailon	29	27	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-9	23	15.1	15.9	-0.79	16.0	13.3	2.74
Eldridge Recasner	15	15	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	-3	11	16.5	15.5	0.96	15.9	13.6	2.23
Derrick Coleman	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-2	9	16.1	15.5	0.63	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Otis Thorpe	18	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	-1	7	12.5	16.3	-3.78	14.1	13.9	0.21
David Wesley	83	85	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	12	-19	15.3	17.0	-1.69	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Baron Davis	82	84	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	13	-21	16.0	14.6	1.31	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Jamal Mashburn	78	81	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	14	-23	15.9	15.1	0.79	13.3	16.0	-2.74
P.J. Brown	80	79	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	11	-17	15.8	15.3	0.47	14.0	13.8	0.25
Elden Campbell	70	70	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	16.2	14.7	1.48	13.8	14.2	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.83,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, UTA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.85,0.83,1	90.0%
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	90.0%
WAS 108, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	89.9%