NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	8.1 [224]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +23.0%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.1 [706]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -8.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	16	72%	0.38	4	-0.15	7	57%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	94%	0.20	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Brandon Rush	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.13	0.03	-0.01	11	27%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.01	23	57%	0.08	3	-0.17	5	100%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	16	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	55%	0.12	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	28.1	16.7	25.2	2.4	32.4	2.4	16.5	154.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -11.9%

DET +7.4%

DET +16.2%

DET +31.1%

DET +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	18.1	15.5	114.7	118.6	105.7
season	14.7	16.7		103.1	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		110.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.2	17.7	13.9	14.8	13.1	15.0
DET	15.1	16.6	22.1	17.9	21.7	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.6	14.8	0.84	16.5	18.6	-2.13
Paul George	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-3	0	14.7	15.1	-0.33	17.2	18.4	-1.16
Brandon Rush	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-8	10	15.5	14.8	0.70	18.8	17.8	0.99
Josh McRoberts	55	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-8	10	13.7	16.7	-2.95	18.6	17.4	1.15
A.J. Price	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	16.3	14.3	2.01	16.9	18.7	-1.83
Dahntay Jones	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.6	14.4	2.19	16.6	18.6	-2.03
Mike Dunleavy	39	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-3	0	14.0	15.7	-1.72	18.5	17.8	0.69
Tyler Hansbrough	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	3	-12	16.8	13.7	3.11	17.2	18.7	-1.47
Darren Collison	62	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	14.3	16.3	-2.01	18.7	16.9	1.83
Danny Granger	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.6	-0.82	18.5	16.9	1.62
Roy Hibbert	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	14.8	15.6	-0.84	18.6	16.5	2.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	49	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	-2	10	17.1	19.2	-2.11	16.6	13.2	3.32
Ben Wallace	53	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	4	-2	19.3	16.7	2.60	13.4	16.7	-3.31
Rodney Stuckey	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-5	16	19.2	16.8	2.43	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Tayshaun Prince	74	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	18.3	17.6	0.71	14.3	17.2	-2.91
Chris Wilcox	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	3	0	17.2	18.4	-1.20	17.4	14.0	3.41
Tracy McGrady	54	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-1	8	17.8	18.5	-0.65	15.1	14.9	0.15
Charlie Villanueva	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	3	0	17.4	18.4	-1.00	16.7	14.4	2.29
Ben Gordon	56	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	10	-14	17.6	18.9	-1.30	15.9	13.8	2.04
Will Bynum	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	7	-8	17.7	18.3	-0.58	15.7	14.6	1.05
Greg Monroe	62	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	18.4	17.6	0.83	14.1	16.5	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.95,0.85,0.54,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.98,1	91.1%
LAC 111, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	90.8%
LAL 115, UTA 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.85,0.83,1	90.6%