NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	9.5 [90]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +18.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	1.6 [688]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -50.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.00	8	55%	0.19	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.05,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.00	0.12	0.01	17	50%	0.19	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.03	16	57%	0.08	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	6	79%	0.10	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.5,-0.5	-0.20	-0.30	-0.00	14	26%	-0.29	4	-0.21	6	83%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.16	0.03	19	59%	0.33	6	-0.14	21	90%	0.08
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	10	80%	0.27	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	91%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.14	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.02,-0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	20	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	32.8	16.8	29.1	2.7	42.0	1.8	19.0	171.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +57.7%

LAC -3.0%

LAC -5.3%

LAC -0.0%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.4	106.7	111.4	104.1
season	15.6	14.8		109.0	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	17.0	17.6	17.3	12.7	16.0	16.0
OKC	13.5	15.1	14.8	15.0	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	27	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-14	22	15.3	16.3	-0.94	15.4	14.1	1.30
Lamar Odom	30	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-12	18	18.0	15.2	2.82	15.2	14.1	1.10
Eric Bledsoe	47	47	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	16.2	15.9	0.26	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Ronny Turiaf	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	17.2	16.0	1.23	15.0	14.4	0.61
Willie Green	34	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	5	-16	15.6	16.2	-0.61	13.4	15.0	-1.55
Chris Paul	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	16.2	15.4	0.71	14.4	14.6	-0.24
DeAndre Jordan	69	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	16.4	15.3	1.03	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Matt Barnes	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	3	-12	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.7	12.9	1.85
Jamal Crawford	59	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-4	2	15.4	16.9	-1.52	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Blake Griffin	78	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	15.5	17.6	-2.12	14.3	14.6	-0.25

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	92	92	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-3	12	14.5	13.5	0.99	16.2	15.0	1.16
Kendrick Perkins	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	14.0	15.1	-1.01	16.6	15.1	1.44
Russell Westbrook	85	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-2	10	14.5	13.8	0.69	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Nick Collison	37	37	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	4	-2	15.1	14.0	1.04	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Kevin Martin	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	1	4	15.0	13.4	1.55	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Serge Ibaka	71	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	2	2	14.8	13.6	1.13	16.2	15.7	0.52
Thabo Sefolosha	59	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	10	-14	13.6	15.5	-1.86	16.2	15.8	0.48
Hasheem Thabeet	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	7	-8	14.4	14.4	-0.04	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Eric Maynor	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	6	-6	12.7	14.9	-2.13	15.7	16.1	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	90.8%
TOR 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	90.2%
ATL 101, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.95,0.85,0.54,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.98,1	90.0%