NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	6.0 [584]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.2%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.9 [698]		LVP	Monty Williams (SAS): -9.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brad Lohaus	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	25	59%	0.14	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.02
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	21	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	16	75%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.05
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	64.1	1.7	29.2	15.4	23.4	1.8	28.1	163.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.2%

UTA +18.0%

UTA +21.0%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	18.3	16.4	15.6	106.0	118.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		100.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.1	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.0	20.1	18.4	16.7	18.3
UTA	17.1	15.8	16.7	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-9	8	14.2	18.5	-4.34	17.4	16.4	1.04
Malik Rose	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	14.3	18.6	-4.25	5.0	17.2	-12.15
Monty Williams	19	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-4	-2	19.8	17.8	1.96	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Carl Herrera	33	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-13	16	19.0	17.8	1.20	18.5	15.2	3.39
Reggie Geary	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	18.9	17.6	1.34	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Jaren Jackson	72	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-10	10	18.2	18.5	-0.20	17.1	12.2	4.88
Will Perdue	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	18.7	17.6	1.12	16.7	16.0	0.71
Brad Lohaus	43	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-5	0	18.0	18.6	-0.57	15.3	17.6	-2.23
Tim Duncan	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	0	-10	18.1	21.4	-3.32	16.5	15.5	0.97
Vinny Del Negro	67	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	17.8	20.1	-2.29	16.2	17.2	-0.95

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-7	24	15.7	18.7	-3.01	17.8	19.7	-1.92
John Stockton	59	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-4	18	16.3	16.7	-0.34	18.2	18.4	-0.18
Karl Malone	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-1	12	16.6	15.1	1.56	18.1	19.1	-0.95
Chris Morris	31	32	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	0	10	14.5	17.5	-2.99	17.0	19.1	-2.13
Adam Keefe	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	0	10	16.0	17.2	-1.27	18.2	18.5	-0.30
Bryon Russell	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	17.1	16.1	1.00	18.3	18.3	0.04
Greg Ostertag	43	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	15	-20	16.9	15.9	0.96	18.9	17.6	1.28
Greg Foster	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	17.5	15.9	1.63	19.4	17.7	1.68
Howard Eisley	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	14	-18	16.7	16.3	0.34	18.4	18.2	0.18
Shandon Anderson	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	17	-24	18.7	15.7	3.01	19.7	17.8	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, DAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1	93.6%
TOR 97, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.4%
LAL 112, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%