NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	7.0 [462]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +32.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Comeback	2.3 [942]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -14.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.05	-0.03	15	76%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	68%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jordan Clarkson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Kyle Kuzma	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	16	57%	0.03	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	11	59%	0.05	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.11	-0.04	15	78%	0.37	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	9	94%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	77%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	18	52%	0.06	5	-0.14	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	0.1	30.4	15.7	27.2	3.4	28.5	128.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.1%

CLE +13.0%

LAL -1.6%

CLE +9.1%

CLE +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	12.8	14.6	14.7	105.7	116.3	107.5
season	13.7	14.8		105.7	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	14.2	11.3	13.1	12.8
CLE	13.5	13.5	16.4	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	18	17	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-14	19	13.9	12.6	1.29	16.0	14.4	1.64
Larry Nance Jr.	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	12.7	12.9	-0.28	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Julius Randle	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-8	7	13.1	12.6	0.51	14.9	14.4	0.43
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	13.0	12.6	0.42	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Brook Lopez	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	12.2	13.4	-1.18	15.5	13.8	1.67
Josh Hart	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-6	3	13.3	11.9	1.42	15.1	13.5	1.63
Kyle Kuzma	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	13.2	12.2	1.03	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Lonzo Ball	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	2	-13	12.3	14.8	-2.52	14.8	14.1	0.62
Brandon Ingram	88	87	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.26	-14	5	-19	12.6	13.9	-1.29	14.4	16.0	-1.64

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	85	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-5	19	14.3	15.9	-1.55	12.8	12.9	-0.16
JR Smith	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-4	17	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.6	13.3	-0.69
Kevin Love	75	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	1	7	14.8	14.3	0.48	12.6	13.4	-0.76
Jose Calderon	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	2	5	14.3	14.9	-0.60	12.6	13.0	-0.40
Kyle Korver	45	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	7	-5	14.7	14.6	0.11	13.0	12.6	0.40
Jae Crowder	54	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	4	1	15.2	14.0	1.24	12.6	13.1	-0.45
Dwyane Wade	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	9	-9	15.2	14.1	1.12	13.1	12.5	0.60
Cedi Osman	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	10	-11	14.8	14.6	0.25	13.2	12.7	0.46
Jeff Green	54	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	13	-17	14.2	15.1	-0.88	13.0	12.6	0.44
Channing Frye	15	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	8	-7	14.3	14.7	-0.34	13.6	12.7	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, NOH 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
BKN 97, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,0.98,1	93.7%