NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	4.5 [877]		MVP	Brian Evans (NJN): +18.6%
New Jersey Nets	125		Comeback	1.1 [828]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -10.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	66%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.02	0.06	9	72%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	13	47%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.13	17	69%	0.01	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	7	107%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.03	-0.02	20	65%	0.18	0	0.00	14	93%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	66%	0.07	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	11	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.5	15.4	30.4	2.4	41.5	140.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.8%

CHH -0.1%

CHH -12.8%

NJN +27.6%

CHH -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.6	112.7	121.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		104.0	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.3	14.4	12.4	11.8	14.0
NJN	11.1	14.4	14.8	16.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-11	12	11.7	14.5	-2.79	16.3	13.7	2.60
Anthony Mason	70	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-6	2	14.3	13.2	1.08	14.2	13.9	0.33
Matt Geiger	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	14.8	12.7	2.08	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Dell Curry	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-16	22	12.7	14.9	-2.24	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Bobby Phills	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.9	12.9	2.05	13.6	14.7	-1.17
Donald Royal	16	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	13.1	14.1	-0.99	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	12.4	14.5	-2.01	14.4	14.1	0.33
Glen Rice	86	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	14.1	13.1	0.99	14.1	14.1	0.00
J.R. Reid	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	12.1	14.5	-2.42	14.0	14.2	-0.18
David Wesley	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.5	12.7	1.74	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Vlade Divac	41	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	3	-16	14.3	13.7	0.60	15.2	13.4	1.82

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	40	39	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-8	26	14.7	13.7	1.00	14.5	13.7	0.81
Chris Gatling	62	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	3	4	15.5	12.0	3.47	13.2	15.0	-1.85
Kerry Kittles	74	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	5	0	14.0	14.4	-0.43	14.4	12.9	1.54
Michael Cage	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	1	8	13.9	14.4	-0.50	14.5	13.4	1.14
Sherman Douglas	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	0	10	16.7	13.2	3.59	14.4	13.8	0.55
Keith Van Horn	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-1	12	13.5	15.8	-2.35	14.6	12.2	2.40
Sam Cassell	81	79	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	13.4	16.9	-3.53	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Lucious Harris	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	13.3	14.5	-1.23	11.6	15.2	-3.60
David Vaughn	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	9	-8	14.3	14.1	0.18	15.3	13.8	1.48
Kendall Gill	63	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	18	-26	13.7	14.7	-1.00	13.7	14.5	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 72, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 76, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%