NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	72		Excitement	4.2 [999]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +16.4%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -19.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.08	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	0.01	-0.04	17	26%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.03	0.01	15	26%	-0.16	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	8	90%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	49%	0.01	4	-0.06	11	73%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	13	32%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	29.1	15.7	28.2	2.5	31.2	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.2%

ORL +15.5%

ORL +4.2%

MEM -1.1%

ORL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.5	80.9	98.9	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		106.1	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	20.2	15.6	16.8	16.9
ORL	11.9	15.8	17.1	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.2	17.2	-5.99	18.2	15.2	3.05
Hasheem Thabeet	22	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-11	5	15.5	17.3	-1.80	18.2	14.5	3.75
Tony Allen	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-9	1	15.1	17.4	-2.26	12.7	16.1	-3.32
Marc Gasol	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-13	9	17.1	16.5	0.51	14.2	17.3	-3.10
Mike Conley	65	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-14	11	17.6	14.8	2.77	15.3	15.3	0.06
O.J. Mayo	50	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-14	11	18.6	14.7	3.89	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Xavier Henry	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-6	-5	14.6	18.0	-3.45	17.6	14.2	3.37
Darrell Arthur	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-6	-5	15.9	17.5	-1.55	17.0	14.3	2.63
Greivis Vasquez	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-3	-11	14.8	17.6	-2.77	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Rudy Gay	73	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-7	-3	17.5	13.9	3.56	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Zach Randolph	67	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-4	-9	17.6	14.5	3.13	14.6	17.7	-3.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	3	11	15.8	13.2	2.59	16.7	17.5	-0.76
Brandon Bass	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	1	15	16.9	14.1	2.76	16.8	16.9	-0.06
Marcin Gortat	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	9	-1	16.6	14.4	2.19	18.5	15.7	2.76
Vince Carter	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	5	7	14.9	16.0	-1.12	15.9	18.4	-2.50
Dwight Howard	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	8	1	14.6	19.1	-4.48	16.8	17.1	-0.34
Jameer Nelson	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	7	3	15.0	16.0	-1.03	15.9	18.8	-2.93
Chris Duhon	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	10	-3	16.0	15.0	1.03	18.8	15.9	2.93
Mickael Pietrus	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	13	-9	16.0	14.9	1.11	18.2	16.0	2.27
Quentin Richardson	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	12	-7	13.3	17.3	-3.94	16.0	17.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%