NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	76		Excitement	4.4 [942]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +16.0%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -14.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	11	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	11	86%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	64%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	33%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	13	40%	0.01	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.6	15.5	26.3	1.7	29.2	128.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.8%

DAL -1.1%

DAL -2.0%

SAS +23.0%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	17.6	15.1	82.6	102.2	104.2
season	14.6	15.4		107.6	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	13.4	13.2	12.5	13.7
SAS	17.0	15.4	18.9	19.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	46	46	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-25	32	13.8	13.6	0.22	16.9	18.3	-1.35
Dwight Powell	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	9.0	14.0	-4.97	15.5	17.8	-2.26
Bernard James	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	9.0	14.0	-4.97	15.5	17.8	-2.26
Rajon Rondo	63	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-17	16	12.5	16.4	-3.92	18.0	16.7	1.29
Charlie Villanueva	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-15	12	12.7	13.8	-1.14	14.3	18.0	-3.63
Chandler Parsons	68	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-16	14	13.4	14.6	-1.20	18.0	16.5	1.50
Dirk Nowitzki	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-14	10	14.0	13.3	0.63	18.3	16.6	1.72
Richard Jefferson	15	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-13	8	13.1	13.8	-0.67	16.1	17.9	-1.76
Tyson Chandler	59	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-5	-8	13.6	13.9	-0.38	17.9	17.1	0.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	28	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-10	2	14.8	13.2	1.62	17.4	17.7	-0.26
Raymond Felton	22	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-4	-10	14.6	13.4	1.24	16.8	17.9	-1.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	39	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.04	-22	4	-26	14.3	13.2	1.11	17.3	17.9	-0.61
Devin Harris	48	46	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.28	-31	13	-44	15.3	12.0	3.29	18.4	16.8	1.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	47	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.16	24	-6	30	16.8	18.5	-1.68	15.2	12.0	3.23
Patty Mills	28	29	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	1	16	17.0	17.9	-0.88	16.1	12.6	3.52
Marco Belinelli	32	33	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	2	14	15.7	18.6	-2.99	14.9	13.0	1.84
Danny Green	57	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.07	17	1	16	17.2	18.3	-1.05	13.1	14.7	-1.64
Tiago Splitter	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	11	-4	18.9	16.2	2.78	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Manu Ginobili	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	10	-2	18.8	16.7	2.06	14.0	13.4	0.64
Tony Parker	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	9	0	17.9	17.1	0.81	12.8	15.0	-2.18
Tim Duncan	65	64	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	13	-8	17.8	17.2	0.55	13.6	14.0	-0.39
Kawhi Leonard	60	60	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	16	-14	18.1	16.6	1.56	13.7	13.6	0.11
Matt Bonner	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	17.0	17.7	-0.66	9.3	14.0	-4.67
Jeff Ayres	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.5	17.8	-2.26	9.0	14.0	-4.97
Reggie Williams	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.5	17.8	-2.26	9.0	14.0	-4.97
Cory Joseph	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	26	-34	17.5	17.6	-0.12	11.3	14.0	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 115, NJN 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 94, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIN 87, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%