NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	7.3 [337]		MVP	Tyus Edney (BOS): +7.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	3.1 [435]		LVP	Brian Shaw (PHI): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Edney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Minor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zan Tabak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	18	47%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.11	0.02	23	62%	0.09	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	17	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	18	67%	-0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	13	53%	-0.02	3	-0.09	12	75%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	8	41%	-0.02	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	28.6	15.4	28.5	2.3	37.6	138.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.5%

PHI +14.0%

PHI +33.8%

BOS -9.9%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	96.9	104.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		100.2	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	13.6	14.1	17.5	14.9
PHI	15.9	14.1	15.3	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	11	10	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.02	9	-14	23	10.2	15.5	-5.29	11.8	15.5	-3.72
Greg Minor	58	57	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.26	13	-18	31	13.6	16.7	-3.08	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Tyus Edney	44	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	14.2	15.4	-1.23	13.9	16.1	-2.24
Travis Knight	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	2	-9	15.3	14.6	0.76	13.8	16.0	-2.23
Andrew DeClercq	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.5	0.85	16.9	13.7	3.23
Dana Barros	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.2	1.23	16.1	13.9	2.24
Antoine Walker	93	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	1	-7	15.1	10.7	4.30	14.9	21.0	-6.13
Ron Mercer	82	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	14.9	14.9	0.01	15.2	15.0	0.15
Walter McCarty	62	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.29	-12	7	-19	16.0	12.9	3.07	15.9	13.7	2.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	81	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	15.8	11.5	4.25	15.6	11.5	4.06
Allen Iverson	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-1	7	15.3	13.3	2.04	14.6	16.9	-2.29
Joe Smith	45	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-5	15	16.6	13.8	2.80	15.4	14.4	0.99
Eric Snow	47	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.38	15.5	14.2	1.24
Brian Shaw	53	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.54	15.1	14.5	0.59
Aaron McKie	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-4	13	15.1	15.2	-0.08	15.5	14.3	1.18
Tim Thomas	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	0	5	15.1	15.1	0.03	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Scott Williams	56	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	9	-13	14.2	16.4	-2.18	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Anthony Parker	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	13.6	15.4	-1.74	10.8	15.5	-4.74
Benoit Benjamin	6	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	12	-19	8.2	15.6	-7.43	9.7	15.3	-5.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
UTA 102, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.96,1,1,1	92.3%
TOR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	92.3%