inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement8.2 [181] MVPShawn Respert (TOR): +27.0%
Miami Heat 108 Comeback3.1 [744] LVPMarcus Camby (TOR): -24.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Respert0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.130.150.025108%0.2700.002100%0.02
John Wallace0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.110.040.06-0.002057%0.181-0.07989%0.02
Doug Christie-0.090,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.001543%-0.071-0.02540%-0.03
Reggie Slater-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.01748%-0.091-0.03956%-0.08
Zan Tabak-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.04-0.02721%-0.1200.0050%-0.11
Damon Stoudamire-0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15,-0.150.01-0.130.021952%-0.012-0.132100%0.01
Marcus Camby-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.25,-0.24-0.15-0.080.001534%-0.173-0.07540%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00564%0.0300.00475%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.00933%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0-0.000.04-0.040.00567%-0.0000.005100%0.04
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001250%0.043-0.0900%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05-0.05-0.070.020.002949%0.064-0.119100%0.10
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00643%-0.023-0.072100%0.03
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00312%-0.1000.00250%-0.02
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.030.001542%-0.072-0.05650%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.727.114.524.21.838.2132.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -3.4%
MIA +22.7%
MIA +31.2%
MIA +0.4%
TOR -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game14.814.915.6106.1112.5102.5
season15.515.898.7104.7
opponent16.214.899.8108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.615.016.413.114.8
MIA17.512.713.016.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zan Tabak47470.07-0.570.650.022-6814.315.2-0.8615.314.60.73
Shawn Respert2424-0.23-0.270.05-0.17-2-2014.714.8-0.1611.716.0-4.21
Doug Christie8784-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.291-5614.517.2-2.7014.815.3-0.49
Marcus Camby8078-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.31-40-414.914.40.4914.516.8-2.37
Damon Stoudamire9594-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-40-414.718.3-3.6614.913.51.44
Reggie Slater7269-0.500.00-0.51-0.47-1-3215.512.82.7416.311.44.92
John Wallace8584-0.680.18-0.87-0.33-128-2014.814.70.1114.914.9-0.01

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway87870.470.030.440.248-41214.617.7-3.0514.715.4-0.65
Eric Murdock38370.400.100.300.2840414.914.90.0715.214.50.65
Ike Austin87880.360.140.220.2440414.419.8-5.3814.913.81.10
Voshon Lenard41430.360.140.220.186-2813.815.8-2.0115.314.40.92
Terry Mills23250.280.220.050.36-37-1018.813.75.1014.514.9-0.41
Keith Askins35340.230.27-0.040.066-2814.115.4-1.2915.014.70.37
Mark Strickland56560.020.48-0.46-0.0731214.215.9-1.7915.913.42.50
Jamal Mashburn7074-0.050.55-0.600.12-610-1614.914.80.0814.416.0-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 85, CHH 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,192.9%
CLE 71, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,192.7%
VAN 78, HOU 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,192.6%