NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	5.9 [588]		MVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): +15.7%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	4.4 [325]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -24.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	17	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	15	61%	0.17	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	0.06	-0.06	0.04	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	6	25%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	12	25%	-0.21	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.02	13	69%	0.22	4	-0.06	10	50%	-0.05
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.09	-0.04	14	50%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	27.5	16.6	25.3	2.7	38.2	139.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +39.3%

CHH +9.5%

ATL -16.5%

CHH +20.2%

ATL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.6	98.8	105.7	102.5
season	16.1	15.7		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		102.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.4	18.6	18.4	19.5	17.4
CHH	16.4	14.1	19.5	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	19	19	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-14	21	15.7	17.9	-2.16	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Tyrone Corbin	53	55	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-10	13	15.4	20.6	-5.22	16.1	15.4	0.71
Christian Laettner	24	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	17.0	17.6	-0.58	17.3	15.3	2.03
Chucky Brown	27	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	21.0	15.8	5.27	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Steven Smith	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-5	3	16.6	21.9	-5.30	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Eldridge Recasner	40	38	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	0	-7	18.7	16.3	2.44	14.4	17.0	-2.55
Mookie Blaylock	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	16.7	21.7	-5.03	16.0	15.4	0.59
Dikembe Mutombo	42	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	1	-9	20.3	14.6	5.70	16.5	15.2	1.34
Alan Henderson	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	4	-15	17.3	18.5	-1.16	15.8	16.6	-0.75

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	65	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-10	27	16.2	14.9	1.37	18.9	12.8	6.10
David Wesley	68	68	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-8	23	15.8	16.3	-0.55	16.7	20.2	-3.55
Anthony Mason	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	16.0	12.7	3.29	18.1	3.0	15.12
Bobby Phills	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	16.3	14.8	1.45	17.0	18.4	-1.33
Glen Rice	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	15.4	17.3	-1.91	17.8	16.3	1.44
Dell Curry	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	15.7	15.9	-0.20	20.2	16.1	4.15
Corey Beck	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	5.0	16.0	-11.01	3.0	17.8	-14.76
Travis Williams	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	15.9	-15.89	2.0	17.6	-15.60
Matt Geiger	11	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	13.8	16.2	-2.37	13.7	17.9	-4.19
J.R. Reid	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.8	0.86	12.2	18.3	-6.10
B.J. Armstrong	19	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	16.3	15.8	0.55	20.2	16.7	3.55
Donald Royal	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	14	-21	15.8	15.9	-0.14	12.3	18.8	-6.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
TOR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	92.9%
OKC 95, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.9%