NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Excitement	7.2 [381]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +30.0%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	4.1 [633]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -15.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Weaver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	17	46%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	20	51%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.11	8	-0.22	8	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.14	0.02	11	79%	0.30	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.10	-0.05	6	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	7	55%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.03	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	14	64%	0.05	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.3	14.7	24.0	1.8	37.2	133.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.3%

OKC -1.6%

PHX +11.2%

PHX +16.9%

OKC -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	13.5	15.5	100.0	110.4	106.4
season	14.9	14.1		100.5	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.9	18.5	17.1	14.2	16.7
PHX	11.9	12.8	13.6	15.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	35	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.08	9	-20	29	19.2	15.2	3.98	14.5	12.8	1.67
Chucky Atkins	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-11	11	18.5	15.6	2.94	12.6	14.0	-1.40
Malik Rose	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-11	11	15.9	16.8	-0.88	12.1	13.7	-1.63
Nenad Krstic	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-12	13	16.3	17.1	-0.76	13.5	13.5	0.02
Nick Collison	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	3	-17	17.4	16.1	1.34	13.3	13.7	-0.42
Jeff Green	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	16.2	19.3	-3.05	14.0	11.1	2.84
Thabo Sefolosha	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	15.9	18.6	-2.67	13.8	12.7	1.14
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	4	-19	16.9	15.6	1.33	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	4	-19	15.5	20.5	-5.06	13.4	13.7	-0.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	45	43	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-2	15	14.0	13.0	1.04	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Leandro Barbosa	53	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	14.3	12.5	1.73	16.4	17.0	-0.67
Shaquille O'Neal	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-2	15	14.7	12.2	2.50	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Grant Hill	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	3	5	14.2	11.0	3.13	16.6	17.1	-0.53
Steve Nash	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-2	15	14.1	11.6	2.47	16.1	18.7	-2.66
Goran Dragic	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	13	-15	11.6	14.1	-2.47	18.7	16.1	2.66
Alando Tucker	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	8	-5	11.0	14.2	-3.13	17.1	16.6	0.53
Robin Lopez	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	10	-9	12.7	13.7	-0.94	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Lou Amundson	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	14	-17	11.9	14.2	-2.28	17.7	16.2	1.45
Jason Richardson	43	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	12.5	14.3	-1.73	17.0	16.4	0.67
Matt Barnes	51	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	13	-15	13.0	14.0	-1.04	16.8	16.6	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1	92.9%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.8%
NYK 101, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1	92.6%