NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.7 [516]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +33.5%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	4.3 [820]		LVP	George Hill (UTA): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.02	17	60%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ron Baker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	5	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	63%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.01	13	52%	0.03	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Willy Hernangomez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.28	0.12	0.06	14	87%	0.38	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.03
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.00	4	125%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.01	17	44%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.04
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	18	42%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	31.4	17.6	24.0	3.4	35.6	138.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.9%

NYK -5.9%

UTA +26.7%

UTA +21.9%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.5	14.8	111.0	120.0	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		106.6	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	13.8	17.1	16.2	15.4
UTA	15.9	15.0	19.9	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	12.7	15.8	-3.09	10.6	17.5	-6.85
Chasson Randle	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-7	7	10.0	15.5	-5.47	18.0	16.4	1.57
Justin Holiday	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-9	11	14.1	16.3	-2.14	14.4	18.1	-3.74
Willy Hernangomez	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-10	13	15.7	15.2	0.54	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Kyle O'Quinn	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	0	-7	15.2	15.4	-0.23	14.8	16.9	-2.06
Carmelo Anthony	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-6	5	15.5	15.0	0.49	17.1	14.8	2.38
Ron Baker	42	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	15.4	15.3	0.01	15.2	17.5	-2.31
Derrick Rose	59	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	16.0	14.1	1.89	17.5	14.6	2.92
Lance Thomas	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-1	-5	15.8	14.5	1.22	17.6	14.4	3.26
Kristaps Porzingis	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	14.9	16.1	-1.18	16.7	16.0	0.72
Courtney Lee	64	63	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.42	-13	6	-19	15.9	14.1	1.76	17.6	13.8	3.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	69	71	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.35	13	-6	19	17.3	13.8	3.48	15.7	14.1	1.54
Gordon Hayward	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	17.3	13.5	3.74	15.8	13.8	1.97
Alec Burks	34	34	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-8	23	15.6	17.0	-1.38	17.0	14.4	2.68
Joe Johnson	42	43	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	2	3	15.5	17.4	-1.88	15.7	15.0	0.70
Joe Ingles	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	-2	11	14.9	18.3	-3.43	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Raul Neto	23	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	17.0	16.3	0.76	16.6	14.9	1.78
George Hill	68	67	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	7	-7	16.3	17.1	-0.87	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Trey Lyles	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	15.6	16.6	-0.94	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Rodney Hood	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	17.4	15.7	1.70	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Jeff Withey	21	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	13	-19	13.8	17.3	-3.48	14.1	15.7	-1.54
Boris Diaw	26	26	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	19	-31	18.9	15.5	3.38	14.4	15.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.95,1	92.8%
OKC 95, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%
GSW 106, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.9%