NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	7.7 [263]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	2.3 [556]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -26.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	18	65%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	23	60%	0.19	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	69%	-0.00	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.08
Rony Seikaly	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.27	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	11	29%	-0.11	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	9	70%	0.09	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	11	42%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	16	56%	0.02	6	-0.19	11	91%	0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	20	41%	-0.06	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	26.6	15.5	27.4	2.2	36.7	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.2%

PHI -6.7%

PHI -1.3%

NJN +24.9%

NJN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.6	95.8	89.6	102.5
season	15.6	15.4		104.9	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.2	18.0	13.4	15.4	14.9
PHI	16.8	14.8	14.8	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-5	15	15.2	13.8	1.42	15.4	14.7	0.67
Kendall Gill	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	14.3	15.8	-1.49	15.7	14.5	1.16
Sam Cassell	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	14.5	16.1	-1.57	15.9	13.4	2.42
Jayson Williams	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	15.0	14.6	0.41	15.6	13.4	2.21
Kerry Kittles	82	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-5	15	14.2	19.3	-5.08	15.8	11.8	4.00
Michael Cage	2	2	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	3.5	15.2	-11.67	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Sherman Douglas	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.5	1.57	13.4	15.9	-2.42
Brian Evans	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	11.1	15.3	-4.15	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Lucious Harris	9	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	20.7	14.3	6.34	10.9	15.7	-4.79
Rony Seikaly	32	34	-0.18	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	9	-13	15.7	14.5	1.15	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Chris Gatling	35	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.14	-11	16	-27	16.1	14.2	1.84	13.1	16.4	-3.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	9	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-10	15	12.1	15.6	-3.44	18.6	14.5	4.11
Mark Davis	11	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-7	9	16.6	15.0	1.59	15.0	14.9	0.08
Eric Snow	31	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	14.7	15.5	-0.81	15.8	14.6	1.20
Benoit Benjamin	22	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.3	14.9	1.35	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Theo Ratliff	33	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-12	19	17.3	14.1	3.16	15.7	14.5	1.19
Brian Shaw	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	14.2	16.6	-2.45	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Aaron McKie	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.6	1.39	15.0	14.9	0.13
Tim Thomas	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	2	-9	14.5	17.0	-2.46	14.9	14.9	0.06
Joe Smith	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	5	-15	14.7	15.8	-1.10	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Derrick Coleman	84	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	3	-11	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.0	14.2	0.84
Allen Iverson	75	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	7	-19	15.8	13.3	2.43	14.4	17.0	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	92.9%
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	92.4%
MIN 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	92.3%