NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	6.3 [538]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +9.8%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.5 [757]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -7.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	7	29%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	19	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	17	55%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Gary Trent	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	22	54%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	14	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	0.09	18	58%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	29.2	16.7	23.4	2.5	31.4	126.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.4%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +20.3%

MIN +8.5%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	107.5	102.2	102.3
season	15.0	14.7		106.7	100.7
opponent	15.1	16.1		106.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	15.3	15.8	15.9	15.5
GSW	17.9	14.0	14.8	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-4	15	14.9	18.4	-3.49	15.4	18.2	-2.83
Joe Smith	51	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	16.3	14.4	1.90	16.0	15.6	0.45
Rasho Nesterovic	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	0	7	15.3	15.7	-0.35	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Robert Pack	33	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.27	2	5	-3	16.3	15.0	1.29	16.3	15.6	0.78
Anthony Peeler	46	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	16.1	14.9	1.21	15.9	15.8	0.06
Gary Trent	32	31	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	15.3	15.6	-0.29	17.1	15.2	1.96
Chauncey Billups	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	2	3	15.0	16.3	-1.29	15.6	16.3	-0.78
Kevin Garnett	72	72	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	7	-7	15.8	14.4	1.41	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Felipe Lopez	4	3	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.23	13.0	15.9	-2.93
Marc Jackson	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	16.5	15.4	1.12	18.4	15.6	2.78
Sam Mitchell	21	21	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	15	-23	13.3	16.1	-2.76	16.4	15.7	0.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	35	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-13	19	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.9	15.2	0.74
Erick Dampier	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	18.4	14.6	3.83	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Danny Fortson	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-6	5	15.9	15.8	0.16	16.2	15.1	1.05
Bob Sura	45	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-11	15	16.3	15.4	0.94	15.6	15.3	0.25
Adonal Foyle	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-4	1	15.3	16.2	-0.91	16.1	15.0	1.07
Jason Richardson	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.0	1.01	15.7	14.5	1.18
Troy Murphy	43	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	2	-11	14.8	16.7	-1.94	14.0	16.8	-2.77
Antawn Jamison	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.8	16.0	-0.20	15.7	14.3	1.44
Gilbert Arenas	79	79	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.36	-18	11	-29	15.4	18.8	-3.45	15.1	17.9	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
DAL 99, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
OKC 118, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,0	92.9%