NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.3 [178]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +6.1%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	3.0 [321]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -67.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	15	56%	0.07	1	-0.14	6	83%	0.05
Rik Smits	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.03,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.06
Mark Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	8	56%	-0.09	3	-0.10	2	50%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	15	62%	0.14	3	-0.11	9	67%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	11	55%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.26,-0.24,-0.28,-0.24,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.34,-0.68	-0.68	-0.21	-0.46	0.01	26	39%	-0.53	5	-0.14	9	44%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	23.4	15.4	25.2	1.8	42.1	131.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +17.9%

IND +31.8%

IND +12.7%

WAS -13.5%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.6	105.6	97.8	102.5
season	16.0	15.1		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	15.5	15.4	19.8	16.7
WAS	15.7	15.1	14.0	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	37	35	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.57	6	-2	8	16.0	17.1	-1.11	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Derrick McKey	50	51	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	1	2	17.0	16.2	0.82	14.3	15.5	-1.14
Reggie Miller	66	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	16.2	17.9	-1.69	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Mark Jackson	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	16.7	16.6	0.17	15.2	14.0	1.21
Chris Mullin	50	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-2	8	16.6	16.8	-0.17	14.8	14.9	-0.05
Fred Hoiberg	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	4	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.05	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Travis Best	30	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	6	-8	16.6	16.7	-0.17	14.0	15.2	-1.21
Jalen Rose	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	16.9	16.6	0.27	16.1	14.2	1.83
Dale Davis	47	49	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.9	16.4	0.50	15.0	14.7	0.28
Rik Smits	53	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.24	0	4	-4	17.1	16.0	1.11	15.1	14.3	0.82

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	43	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.13	0	-4	4	15.5	14.2	1.27	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Chris Whitney	16	15	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.09	7	-11	18	16.1	14.6	1.57	16.9	16.6	0.23
Harvey Grant	28	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.29	15.9	17.0	-1.07
Ledell Eackles	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-4	4	12.4	15.5	-3.16	17.2	16.5	0.67
Terry Davis	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.4	2.00	15.7	16.9	-1.26
Juwan Howard	57	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-11	18	15.0	14.6	0.40	17.6	15.4	2.16
Calbert Cheaney	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-3	2	15.3	13.8	1.57	16.9	16.2	0.69
Chris Webber	85	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	15.0	13.0	2.00	16.9	14.4	2.44
Rod Strickland	85	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	14.7	16.4	-1.69	16.8	15.7	1.02
Tracy Murray	47	52	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.42	-15	11	-26	13.8	15.9	-2.06	16.2	17.3	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.41,0	92.8%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	91.8%
SAS 88, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0	91.0%