NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	8.7 [188]		MVP	Deron Williams (CLE): +17.6%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	2.4 [568]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -45.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	0.00	4	108%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.1,0.18,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	25	56%	0.20	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	5	42%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
JR Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	0.02	-0.19	-0.00	25	49%	-0.09	1	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.20	-0.09	-0.02	13	19%	-0.12	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.17	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.12,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	43%	0.12	1	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	0.00	12	56%	0.06	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.4,-0.45	-0.45	-0.15	-0.31	-0.01	21	33%	-0.19	4	-0.26	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	33.6	16.4	28.5	3.4	36.6	147.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -19.9%

CLE +24.7%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +31.9%

CLE +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	14.8	109.3	104.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		113.5	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	13.6	16.7	19.1	15.9
IND	13.8	13.5	14.0	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	38	41	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-4	12	14.2	17.1	-2.81	12.9	14.1	-1.24
LeBron James	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	16.2	12.1	4.10	13.9	10.2	3.65
Kyrie Irving	73	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	16.4	14.5	1.92	13.5	13.8	-0.25
Kevin Love	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	1	2	17.1	13.2	3.96	14.0	12.8	1.16
JR Smith	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	6	-8	17.1	14.4	2.66	13.8	13.3	0.49
Iman Shumpert	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	-1	6	13.6	17.4	-3.72	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Deron Williams	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	14.4	16.6	-2.24	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Channing Frye	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	14.0	16.7	-2.65	13.6	13.6	0.04
Tristan Thompson	70	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	5	-6	16.1	15.5	0.65	13.5	13.9	-0.46

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	55	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-11	18	12.4	15.1	-2.74	15.1	17.0	-1.84
Glenn Robinson III	29	28	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-5	6	12.6	14.0	-1.44	14.1	16.7	-2.64
Lavoy Allen	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	18.5	13.5	5.00	18.5	15.9	2.61
Monta Ellis	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	15.8	13.3	2.50	11.6	16.6	-4.98
Myles Turner	70	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-12	20	13.1	15.0	-1.91	16.4	14.8	1.65
Kevin Seraphin	28	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	8	-20	15.0	13.1	1.91	14.8	16.4	-1.65
Lance Stephenson	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	14.3	12.5	1.81	16.7	14.8	1.95
Jeff Teague	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	13.5	14.1	-0.56	16.3	14.5	1.77
Thaddeus Young	69	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.4	14.0	-0.52	16.6	14.3	2.29
Paul George	88	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	2	-8	14.0	9.8	4.23	16.2	13.1	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	93.3%
NYK 99, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.27,0	92.3%
PHI 92, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.57,0.09,0	92.2%