NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	7.8 [292]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): +32.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	1.7 [426]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -31.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.02	12	81%	0.33	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Henry Walker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	1	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	18	57%	0.17	6	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	5	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Timofey Mozgov	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	41%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.21	0.03	20	59%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sherron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	9	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	20	41%	-0.18	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	27.1	14.8	27.2	2.4	30.5	130.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.1%

NYK +11.9%

CHA -11.8%

CHA -0.5%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	13.9	17.1	15.5	106.5	102.2	105.7
season	14.3	16.2		108.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.5	14.5	11.8	17.1	13.9
CHA	15.2	17.6	19.5	16.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	64	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-4	12	13.0	15.7	-2.61	16.7	18.1	-1.42
Wilson Chandler	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-3	10	14.5	12.4	2.15	17.0	17.4	-0.39
Raymond Felton	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	13.6	15.5	-1.92	17.2	16.5	0.68
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	8	-12	13.4	14.9	-1.53	16.5	18.6	-2.04
Toney Douglas	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-7	18	14.4	13.5	0.99	17.7	16.7	1.02
Timofey Mozgov	21	20	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-6	16	14.9	13.6	1.35	19.5	16.4	3.11
Danilo Gallinari	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	10	-16	13.9	13.8	0.10	16.7	18.5	-1.82
Ronny Turiaf	35	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	12.9	14.4	-1.56	17.0	17.2	-0.13
Henry Walker	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	8	-12	15.7	13.0	2.61	18.1	16.7	1.42

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	19.3	16.9	2.36	12.6	14.0	-1.35
Sherron Collins	5	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	2	-8	20.0	16.9	3.06	12.3	14.0	-1.63
Matt Carroll	7	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	18.6	17.0	1.58	15.0	13.8	1.25
D.J. Augustin	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-10	16	16.1	19.7	-3.64	13.8	14.0	-0.14
Kwame Brown	13	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	19.2	16.8	2.38	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Tyrus Thomas	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-10	16	16.5	18.6	-2.09	14.3	12.9	1.37
Boris Diaw	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-9	14	16.9	18.1	-1.18	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Stephen Jackson	79	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-9	14	16.8	18.9	-2.14	13.9	13.8	0.06
Gerald Wallace	79	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-9	14	16.8	18.9	-2.14	13.9	13.8	0.06
Shaun Livingston	28	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	5	-14	19.6	16.0	3.53	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Derrick Brown	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	10	-24	18.2	16.4	1.80	14.1	13.7	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.18,0	92.9%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	92.3%
PHX 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	92.1%