NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	7.0 [411]		MVP	Steven Smith (NOH): +28.2%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	1.7 [331]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -18.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.00	0.16	-0.00	15	57%	0.31	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.05
Maciej Lampe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	18	54%	0.03	3	-0.08	10	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	0.00	8	100%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.01	10	92%	0.32	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.15	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	27%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	28.5	15.8	26.2	2.6	30.3	130.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.1%

PHX +15.3%

PHX +8.1%

PHX +16.1%

PHX +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.7	112.5	104.4	100.5
season	14.6	16.0		99.6	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		99.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	18.0	15.1	18.0	16.2
NOH	16.5	14.1	16.2	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	15.5	21.3	-5.76	15.8	19.1	-3.33
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	16.5	13.5	2.96	16.6	11.5	5.12
Antonio McDyess	51	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-2	9	16.0	16.5	-0.55	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Casey Jacobsen	44	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	17.2	15.2	2.07	15.9	16.4	-0.47
Joe Johnson	84	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	16.1	17.7	-1.63	16.2	15.4	0.81
Jahidi White	30	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	16.2	16.2	0.01	16.6	16.0	0.60
Leandro Barbosa	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	4	-3	14.9	18.1	-3.15	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Zarko Cabarkapa	14	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	4	-3	20.3	15.4	4.87	17.9	15.8	2.15
Maciej Lampe	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	11	-17	17.9	16.0	1.81	15.3	16.2	-0.96

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	32	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	2	-9	17.1	15.6	1.49	18.0	15.2	2.79
Darrell Armstrong	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-8	11	15.8	17.0	-1.19	15.3	18.7	-3.45
Stacey Augmon	54	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	15.7	16.8	-1.11	14.3	19.1	-4.85
Jamaal Magloire	68	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-9	13	15.1	19.4	-4.29	15.8	17.6	-1.89
Steven Smith	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-8	11	15.9	16.3	-0.39	18.8	14.1	4.76
P.J. Brown	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-9	13	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.2	17.8	-2.55
George Lynch	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	3	-11	16.0	16.2	-0.19	18.8	15.1	3.70
Robert Traylor	22	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	4	-13	19.4	15.1	4.29	17.6	15.8	1.89
Shammond Williams	27	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	2	-9	17.1	15.8	1.30	19.0	15.1	3.92
David Wesley	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	16.2	16.2	-0.04	14.8	19.1	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	94.0%
MIL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.18,0	93.7%
BOS 104, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.04,0.02,0	93.4%