NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	7.5 [357]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +52.2%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	1.5 [441]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -32.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.33	0.06	0.25	-0.01	21	56%	0.33	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Joe Smith	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	64%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.06
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	41%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.36,0.52	0.52	0.20	0.32	-0.01	18	76%	0.56	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	76%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	14	30%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.33	-0.33	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	11	27%	-0.27	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	33.2	15.4	22.5	2.4	42.3	140.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.1%

MIL +16.1%

MIL +23.4%

IND -6.0%

MIL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	18.2	15.5	15.5	106.0	98.9	104.0
season	16.0	16.8		104.4	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	19.0	16.7	20.1	17.6	18.2
IND	17.9	14.0	16.9	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	48	50	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-2	7	19.2	16.9	2.37	15.6	15.4	0.24
Mike James	42	45	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	16.6	19.8	-3.14	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Joe Smith	76	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	3	-3	17.9	21.5	-3.63	15.4	16.7	-1.36
Desmond Mason	71	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	-1	5	18.6	15.8	2.80	15.1	17.9	-2.87
Michael Redd	62	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	6	-9	18.9	16.4	2.45	14.3	18.9	-4.56
Erick Strickland	23	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	-3	9	15.7	19.1	-3.41	17.5	14.7	2.81
Dan Gadzuric	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-4	11	18.6	17.8	0.74	17.4	13.5	3.81
Kendall Gill	21	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	18.0	18.3	-0.29	17.5	14.8	2.65
Zaza Pachulia	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	19.4	17.9	1.51	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Zendon Hamilton	16	15	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	10	-17	18.2	18.2	-0.03	15.7	15.5	0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	0.0	15.7	-15.70	6.0	18.4	-12.36
Austin Croshere	57	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-9	15	16.5	13.6	2.88	17.8	19.2	-1.36
John Edwards	4	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	24.7	15.1	9.68	17.7	18.2	-0.57
Jeff Foster	53	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-9	15	14.2	17.6	-3.45	18.7	17.6	1.06
Marcus Haislip	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	2	-7	14.4	15.7	-1.26	16.6	18.4	-1.86
David Harrison	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.1	0.80	18.9	17.3	1.54
Eddie Gill	21	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.4	0.39	20.0	17.7	2.27
James Jones	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	16.5	15.1	1.46	17.0	18.7	-1.79
Reggie Miller	73	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-5	7	15.2	17.2	-2.02	18.7	16.0	2.66
Fred Jones	75	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.5	15.7	-0.27	18.2	18.2	0.04
Anthony Johnson	67	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	2	-7	15.2	16.4	-1.21	17.7	20.0	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	93.7%
WAS 93, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.07,0,0	93.4%
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	93.2%