NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	6.3 [555]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +32.1%
Dallas Mavericks	86		Comeback	1.2 [450]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -23.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.11	0.18	-0.03	20	66%	0.37	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.01	8	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Don Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Gerard King	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	11	18%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	10	27%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.09	0.06	14	54%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.17	-0.02	13	38%	-0.02	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	27.4	15.5	25.6	2.4	27.7	123.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.1%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +6.4%

DAL -2.6%

DAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	17.6	16.1	15.2	109.4	100.0	101.7
season	15.5	14.8		101.1	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.8		104.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	22.8	16.4	15.8	16.4	17.6
DAL	16.3	17.1	14.8	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	49	49	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-5	17	16.3	19.3	-3.00	16.8	15.2	1.58
Chris Whitney	85	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	17.6	0.0	17.58	16.1	0.0	16.12
Mitch Richmond	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	17.3	18.3	-1.01	14.8	19.9	-5.04
Juwan Howard	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	17.8	16.2	1.68	15.8	17.5	-1.65
Calvin Booth	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	15.6	19.1	-3.56	16.1	16.1	-0.06
Don Reid	24	24	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	0	7	19.8	16.7	3.09	16.7	15.9	0.82
Richard Hamilton	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	17.4	17.6	-0.19	19.0	14.6	4.43
Tracy Murray	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	18.3	17.4	0.84	16.1	16.1	0.01
Jahidi White	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	7	-7	18.5	17.2	1.23	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Gerard King	26	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	13	-19	19.6	16.7	2.94	15.4	16.4	-0.98

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	6.5	16.3	-9.85	3.5	17.9	-14.42
Sean Rooks	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-8	9	15.3	16.7	-1.39	16.4	18.6	-2.25
Steve Nash	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-6	5	15.8	16.9	-1.07	16.9	19.2	-2.24
Shawn Bradley	42	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	17.7	14.6	3.08	19.8	15.7	4.19
Erick Strickland	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	16.8	15.4	1.39	19.1	15.7	3.42
Michael Finley	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.6	21.2	-5.66	17.3	19.9	-2.54
Hubert Davis	37	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	2	-11	16.0	16.2	-0.20	16.7	18.2	-1.42
Greg Buckner	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.9	14.8	2.10	17.1	18.4	-1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	2	-11	15.8	17.9	-2.13	18.0	15.5	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.18,0	93.4%
NOH 81, BOS 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	92.9%
POR 101, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	92.7%