inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 81 Excitement7.0 [408] MVPSteven Smith (NOH): +4.0%
Boston Celtics 73 Comeback1.1 [507] LVPMarcus Banks (BOS): -20.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.050.00540%0.0400.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
George Lynch-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00653%0.042-0.05333%-0.02
David Wesley-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.02-0.021239%-0.011-0.01450%-0.02
Stacey Augmon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
David West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00250%-0.031-0.02250%-0.02
P.J. Brown-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.001437%-0.041-0.034100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.011154%-0.022-0.07683%0.01
Darrell Armstrong-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.00764%0.086-0.2100%0.00
Baron Davis-0.170,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17-0.200.01-0.032232%-0.122-0.05933%-0.08

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Blount0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01367%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001462%0.145-0.16989%0.04
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001100%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.01956%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.080.00-0.00941%-0.032-0.05475%-0.01
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.050.02955%-0.033-0.094100%0.03
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.08-0.02825%-0.132-0.07425%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game481.21.825.516.425.82.032.4585.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +9.3%
BOS -8.7%
NOH +50.4%
BOS -0.6%
BOS -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHBOSNBANOHBOSNBA
this game18.214.515.792.083.0100.5
season16.014.499.399.5
opponent15.915.7102.199.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.218.818.618.218.2
BOS14.815.513.314.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire68680.57-0.070.640.2511-31418.118.6-0.5314.614.20.43
P.J. Brown67660.55-0.050.590.2211-31418.118.5-0.4314.913.51.44
Baron Davis66650.50-0.000.510.2110-21218.517.31.2315.412.13.31
Darrell Armstrong47480.450.050.390.2471617.519.0-1.4614.214.9-0.67
George Lynch53520.330.170.160.1271618.118.4-0.3414.814.10.76
David Wesley53530.100.40-0.300.0426-418.817.31.4614.514.6-0.16
Steven Smith14140.100.40-0.310.0717-620.117.82.2314.014.6-0.64
Stacey Augmon31320.020.48-0.450.11-311-1417.018.9-1.8913.115.4-2.31
David West2122-0.050.55-0.590.04-311-1418.518.10.4313.514.9-1.44
Robert Traylor2020-0.070.57-0.640.02-311-1418.618.10.5314.214.6-0.43

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kedrick Brown36360.01-0.510.52-0.021-91015.014.20.8419.417.32.07
Mark Blount3131-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-8815.713.91.7719.117.71.35
Jumaine Jones77-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-7617.114.32.8316.118.4-2.23
Jiri Welsch2726-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-7613.914.8-0.9817.818.3-0.49
Walter McCarty2121-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-4011.715.4-3.7016.218.8-2.63
Mike James4546-0.22-0.280.05-0.14-3-5215.613.42.1418.817.61.19
Tony Battie5150-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.22-1-7613.815.6-1.8318.118.4-0.31
Marcus Banks4443-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.19-3-5213.415.6-2.2017.618.8-1.20
Paul Pierce6768-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.21-6-2-414.813.80.9518.517.31.16
Vin Baker6262-0.510.01-0.51-0.21-102-1215.711.83.9218.517.50.93
Eric Williams4950-0.570.07-0.63-0.21-124-1613.715.6-1.8517.519.1-1.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,093.7%
SAC 84, HOU 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,093.4%
HOU 103, GSW 950.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,093.3%