inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 102 Excitement6.1 [608] MVPMehmet Okur (UTA): +22.9%
Toronto Raptors 94 Comeback1.5 [592] LVPT.J. Ford (TOR): -14.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0.230,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.230.140.07-0.011959%0.2300.00887%0.04
Carlos Boozer0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.160.080.090.001668%0.264-0.10250%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.050.00667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01280%0.0600.006100%0.03
Paul Millsap0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Deron Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.081642%0.083-0.08683%0.05
Derek Fisher-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.000.00948%0.011-0.03367%-0.00
Matt Harpring-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.01560%0.034-0.1400%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.0030%-0.053-0.0900%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.011167%0.122-0.052100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.010.021958%0.092-0.041267%-0.05
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00180%0.0500.00367%-0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01978%0.113-0.0700%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02960%0.041-0.022100%0.02
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.021032%-0.081-0.01250%-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.0150%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.05-0.031329%-0.102-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.829.516.725.22.431.4133.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +34.4%
UTA +15.9%
UTA +19.2%
TOR -20.1%
UTA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTATORNBAUTATORNBA
this game16.215.115.4110.9102.2104.5
season15.915.2107.4104.7
opponent15.415.0104.1104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.013.717.616.916.2
TOR15.715.117.512.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur73720.51-0.010.520.2210-21216.216.3-0.1215.513.71.77
Deron Williams73740.460.040.420.2380816.415.50.9415.612.92.66
Carlos Boozer61620.460.040.410.1311-31416.116.5-0.4015.514.21.37
Andrei Kirilenko59610.410.090.330.1880816.615.51.1016.212.83.44
Matt Harpring45430.280.220.060.1935-216.316.10.1412.617.3-4.75
Derek Fisher65660.240.26-0.030.1244016.016.9-0.9016.112.53.66
Gordan Giricek34320.110.39-0.280.0817-615.516.6-1.0912.916.2-3.30
Jarron Collins14140.040.46-0.42-0.0535-218.015.92.1013.415.4-1.96
Paul Millsap3636-0.010.51-0.520.23-816-2415.816.5-0.6814.215.7-1.47

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. Ford4846-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-7617.112.84.3016.316.10.26
Joey Graham2324-0.12-0.380.25-0.07-2-6413.415.7-2.2615.216.6-1.37
Rasho Nesterovic4242-0.17-0.330.160.00-6-2-416.613.82.8215.616.8-1.19
Jorge Garbajosa4140-0.19-0.310.12-0.02-6-2-417.912.94.9916.615.90.77
Andrea Bargnani5860-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-91014.017.0-3.0316.415.80.67
Morris Peterson5050-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-6-2-413.217.4-4.2215.816.7-0.91
Anthony Parker7070-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.31-2-6415.414.11.3116.615.01.66
Jose Calderon4546-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-91-1012.617.5-4.9616.116.3-0.26
Chris Bosh8382-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-91-1015.313.31.9416.414.91.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, TOR 880.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,094.3%
LAC 93, MIN 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.07,0.02,094.1%
PHX 99, NOH 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,094.0%