NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	6.7 [472]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +39.9%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.5 [754]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -18.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.40	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4	0.22	0.18	-0.00	23	77%	0.46	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	9	52%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	18	49%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	2	40%	-0.09	3	-0.10	6	33%	-0.09

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.04	13	75%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	21	61%	0.13	6	-0.20	9	89%	0.04
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	3	56%	-0.08	2	-0.06	12	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	29.5	15.3	27.5	2.3	34.4	134.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.7%

BOS +2.6%

WAS -2.6%

BOS +12.9%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.6	109.5	104.2	102.3
season	15.0	16.5		100.9	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	14.8	14.7	17.5	15.1
WAS	14.5	18.8	13.5	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	84	83	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-5	15	15.3	14.1	1.17	14.9	17.2	-2.26
Antoine Walker	88	88	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	14.9	17.4	-2.49	14.9	18.3	-3.34
Kenny Anderson	73	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	14.9	15.7	-0.78	15.2	15.3	-0.17
Tony Delk	71	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	3	-1	16.0	12.5	3.51	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Vitaly Potapenko	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	5	-5	16.1	13.9	2.15	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Rodney Rogers	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	14.5	15.6	-1.17	16.8	13.8	2.97
Walter McCarty	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	6	-7	12.4	15.7	-3.23	15.6	15.1	0.45
Mark Blount	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	4	-3	16.6	15.0	1.56	18.4	15.0	3.39
Eric Williams	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	14.4	15.7	-1.38	15.9	14.7	1.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	19.7	14.8	4.98	16.0	15.1	0.94
Popeye Jones	44	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-9	13	14.7	15.6	-0.95	16.8	13.8	2.93
Jahidi White	53	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-8	11	14.3	16.3	-1.96	16.7	13.0	3.67
Tyronn Lue	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-7	9	15.1	15.3	-0.26	15.5	14.7	0.75
Tyrone Nesby	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	0	-5	17.1	14.1	3.00	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Chris Whitney	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.9	16.4	-2.57
Richard Hamilton	80	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-6	7	14.9	16.9	-2.07	14.8	16.7	-1.83
Kwame Brown	33	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.8	1.01	13.1	16.1	-2.96
Courtney Alexander	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	14.6	17.1	-2.51	15.5	13.5	2.00
Christian Laettner	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	6	-17	15.6	14.7	0.95	14.1	16.4	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.04,0	93.5%
PHX 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	93.4%
GSW 85, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.3%