NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	7.6 [387]		MVP	Alec Burks (CLE): +22.1%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	1.9 [273]		LVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): -14.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,0.22	0.01	0.21	0.00	13	46%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	11	73%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Collin Sexton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	22	44%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	43%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
George Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.15	0.01	10	60%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.13,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.11	0.01	31	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.2	0.2	24.5	1.7	34.2	114.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.5%

CLE +20.5%

BKN -3.4%

BKN -4.0%

BKN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	14.3	104.2	105.4	109.3
season	15.5	14.3		106.3	108.6
opponent	14.0	13.9		109.1	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	13.5	16.1	17.0	15.6
BKN	14.3	17.3	15.9	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	59	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-9	20	14.1	17.9	-3.75	15.4	15.1	0.29
Jordan Clarkson	57	55	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-8	18	14.2	17.7	-3.50	15.3	15.1	0.26
Rodney Hood	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	5	-8	16.8	12.8	4.03	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Cedi Osman	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	7	-12	16.6	14.2	2.31	15.3	15.2	0.05
George Hill	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.50	-6	8	-14	16.3	13.4	2.87	14.8	16.6	-1.82
Larry Nance Jr.	34	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-2	6	13.7	16.6	-2.88	15.7	15.0	0.73
Jalen Jones	10	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	10.1	16.2	-6.10	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Collin Sexton	61	60	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	4	-6	16.2	14.4	1.83	15.5	14.7	0.75
Tristan Thompson	65	64	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	7	-12	16.4	13.8	2.52	15.4	14.8	0.65

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-8	14	14.9	15.9	-1.00	17.1	12.7	4.43
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	2	-6	15.5	15.0	0.44	16.2	15.0	1.19
Shabazz Napier	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	16.3	14.5	1.80	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Ed Davis	30	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	16.0	14.9	1.08	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Rodions Kurucs	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-8	14	13.4	16.0	-2.65	16.2	15.3	0.93
Jared Dudley	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	3	-8	16.5	14.5	2.00	13.9	16.5	-2.65
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.49	8	-10	18	14.7	16.3	-1.54	16.7	13.3	3.39
Jarrett Allen	62	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.45	6	-8	14	14.9	16.0	-1.08	16.7	13.3	3.39
Allen Crabbe	63	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-4	6	14.6	16.6	-1.92	15.7	15.3	0.36
DeMarre Carroll	44	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	12	-26	16.3	14.2	2.11	13.7	17.3	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.04,0.02,0	93.5%
WAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.3%
GSW 85, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.3%