NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): +34.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	3.0 [267]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -19.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.16,0.35	-0.01	0.36	0.01	12	47%	0.38	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.10
Fred Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	10	74%	0.30	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.04
Anthony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Joey Graham	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	7	43%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.17	-0.00	12	50%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	19	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	16	52%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	14	51%	-0.08	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	11	46%	-0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	29.0	15.7	25.2	2.5	36.8	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.1%

TOR +22.1%

TOR +5.1%

LAC -20.9%

TOR +12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.4	111.4	109.1	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		104.7	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	15.8	16.3	19.5	16.9
LAC	17.4	17.0	15.7	13.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	56	56	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-11	24	16.9	16.9	0.00	14.7	17.8	-3.08
Andrea Bargnani	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-8	18	17.1	16.3	0.76	15.2	17.8	-2.62
Morris Peterson	37	37	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-7	16	16.5	17.2	-0.64	16.2	15.5	0.64
T.J. Ford	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	17.1	16.7	0.42	16.0	15.6	0.41
PJ Tucker	19	18	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-7	16	15.1	17.4	-2.37	16.6	15.6	1.00
Anthony Parker	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	7	-12	17.2	16.5	0.64	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Darrick Martin	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	-1	4	16.7	17.1	-0.42	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Rasho Nesterovic	66	65	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	11	-20	17.3	15.8	1.52	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Kris Humphries	21	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	8	-14	17.6	16.7	0.93	18.3	15.0	3.31
Joey Graham	35	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	15	-28	16.4	17.2	-0.80	17.6	14.7	2.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	56	56	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.6	18.0	-3.48	16.8	17.2	-0.39
Paul Davis	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	16.2	15.8	0.40	15.7	17.1	-1.44
Elton Brand	80	81	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-5	8	16.0	14.2	1.73	17.0	15.9	1.14
Corey Maggette	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-9	16	15.9	15.6	0.36	17.4	15.6	1.82
Chris Kaman	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	7	-16	17.1	13.7	3.44	16.7	17.3	-0.63
James Singleton	1	0	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	0	-2	0.0	16.0	-16.00	0.0	16.9	-16.91
Cuttino Mobley	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	16.0	15.1	0.92	17.1	16.0	1.10
Shaun Livingston	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	15.9	15.4	0.47	17.1	15.6	1.45
Quinton Ross	24	23	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	9	-20	14.8	16.2	-1.41	15.6	17.4	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,0	93.0%
IND 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.42,0	92.8%
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	91.9%