NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	7.6 [337]		MVP	Kyle Anderson (SAS): +33.5%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.6 [356]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -14.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.34	0.10	0.23	-0.00	5	92%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.25	-0.02	0.27	-0.00	14	49%	0.29	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
David West	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,0.05	-0.04	0.10	0.01	13	39%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.00	-0.12	0.02	13	54%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.28,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.18	0.01	19	57%	0.33	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	11	44%	0.15	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.06	0.03	4	118%	0.20	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.03
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	27.6	14.8	30.2	2.4	29.2	128.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.0%

SAS +5.9%

UTA -10.1%

SAS +45.8%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	14.9	103.5	98.9	105.1
season	15.7	16.3		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.7		102.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.2	17.0	16.0	18.4	17.2
UTA	17.0	16.5	16.7	15.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	41	43	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.33	21	-19	40	16.0	18.3	-2.37	16.0	16.7	-0.68
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	17.4	16.4	0.99	16.1	17.0	-0.91
Manu Ginobili	32	34	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-13	28	17.8	16.8	1.02	15.9	16.6	-0.67
David West	34	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-10	22	16.6	17.5	-0.88	17.1	15.8	1.35
Patty Mills	36	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-10	22	16.9	17.4	-0.45	16.9	15.8	1.11
Danny Green	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.46	-8	10	-18	16.5	18.0	-1.54	16.5	16.1	0.38
Tony Parker	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.43	-10	12	-22	17.4	16.9	0.45	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Kawhi Leonard	69	68	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.46	-18	20	-38	17.5	15.9	1.53	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Matt Bonner	11	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	12	-22	19.4	16.9	2.51	17.0	16.2	0.77
Tim Duncan	42	43	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	12	-22	17.7	16.7	0.97	16.4	16.2	0.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	52	54	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-8	14	16.1	16.6	-0.47	17.7	16.2	1.50
Derrick Favors	49	50	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-6	10	16.9	15.6	1.23	17.1	17.3	-0.19
Chris Johnson	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	22.4	16.0	6.45	10.2	17.5	-7.27
Rodney Hood	64	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-13	24	16.0	17.3	-1.28	17.7	15.4	2.26
Trevor Booker	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-9	16	15.2	16.9	-1.75	17.4	17.0	0.41
Raul Neto	25	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	6	-14	18.0	15.6	2.41	15.3	17.9	-2.57
Trey Lyles	35	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	11	-24	17.4	15.6	1.85	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Rudy Gobert	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	2	-6	15.8	17.4	-1.58	17.8	15.7	2.10
Gordon Hayward	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-3	4	16.0	17.3	-1.33	16.9	18.0	-1.14
Joe Ingles	49	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	6	-14	15.9	16.9	-0.97	17.5	16.8	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.42,0	91.0%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	91.0%
TOR 102, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.58,0	90.9%