NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	8.8 [165]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +54.1%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	3.0 [325]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -31.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.46	0.14	0.32	-0.00	15	69%	0.46	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Chris Bosh	0.39	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.39	0.06	0.33	0.01	14	66%	0.49	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.06
Jalen Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	13	46%	-0.05	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.44,0.54	0.54	0.16	0.39	0.01	23	69%	0.67	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	6	65%	0.18	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	8	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	6	21%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31	-0.31	-0.02	-0.28	0.01	19	62%	0.01	7	-0.32	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	0.6	31.4	15.6	23.4	2.5	35.9	136.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.7%

TOR +7.1%

TOR +21.2%

ATL -0.2%

TOR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.6	113.3	111.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.6		107.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.8	15.7	20.1	18.3	16.6
ATL	15.9	15.6	12.6	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	60	61	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-14	29	15.6	18.7	-3.08	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Charlie Villanueva	52	52	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-8	17	16.9	16.2	0.69	16.3	13.8	2.45
Morris Peterson	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	-2	5	15.5	18.4	-2.97	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Chris Bosh	81	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	0	1	16.8	14.8	2.04	15.4	13.4	1.97
Jalen Rose	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-10	21	16.3	17.0	-0.69	14.6	15.8	-1.14
Matt Bonner	41	43	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	5	-9	18.5	15.0	3.54	16.1	14.5	1.61
Mike James	72	71	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.46	-18	19	-37	16.3	18.0	-1.74	14.8	16.7	-1.96
Rafael Araujo	20	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	5	-9	17.7	16.3	1.46	13.1	15.9	-2.76
Joey Graham	24	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	9	-17	18.0	16.1	1.84	17.0	14.6	2.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	0.5	15.6	-15.05	3.0	16.9	-13.92
John Edwards	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	2	-5	18.0	15.1	2.94	15.7	16.7	-0.90
Josh Smith	42	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	14.1	16.2	-2.04	17.3	16.1	1.24
Tyronn Lue	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-9	17	15.3	15.2	0.09	16.7	16.5	0.23
Salim Stoudamire	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-1	1	15.5	15.0	0.42	15.4	17.5	-2.07
Zaza Pachulia	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-7	13	15.3	15.0	0.29	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Marvin Williams	37	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	6	-13	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.9	17.1	-1.15
Al Harrington	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-3	5	15.4	14.7	0.70	17.8	12.8	5.02
Joe Johnson	88	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	15.3	13.7	1.61	17.1	3.3	13.74
Josh Childress	54	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	6	-13	15.8	14.4	1.33	15.8	17.8	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.55,0.35,0.58,0	92.1%
MIA 101, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.4%
SAS 88, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0	90.9%