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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement8.1 [195] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +45.5%
Detroit Pistons 98 Comeback11.0 [152] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -21.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.460,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.460.250.250.041584%0.4600.002100%0.03
LeBron James0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.250.060.16-0.022059%0.474-0.231493%0.21
Mario Chalmers0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.020.00794%0.202-0.063100%0.02
Mike Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.02-0.00862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00458%0.021-0.01475%0.00
James Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00945%0.031-0.06250%-0.01
Eddy Curry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0030%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Shane Battier-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.090.0030%-0.1400.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.17,0.170.17-0.030.19-0.00750%0.232-0.0600%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.070.070.060.020.011462%0.153-0.084100%0.06
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.040.040.15-0.110.001870%0.142-0.104100%0.04
Walker Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.01568%0.104-0.121275%0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.12-0.01950%0.043-0.1900%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.21-0.21-0.01-0.200.011452%-0.063-0.16540%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.531.617.626.42.744.1149.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +15.1%
MIA +26.2%
DET -32.1%
MIA +38.6%
MIA +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game16.016.415.6113.5110.1102.8
season15.516.3105.699.5
opponent15.415.8104.498.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.115.417.313.816.0
DET18.913.917.016.216.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier55550.82-0.321.140.5011-81915.117.5-2.4515.617.6-1.97
LeBron James76770.54-0.040.580.376-3915.717.8-2.0916.714.32.35
Mario Chalmers53540.490.010.490.239-61514.917.6-2.7716.915.61.27
Chris Bosh70680.470.030.440.3830315.119.3-4.1616.815.01.86
Udonis Haslem36360.340.160.190.46-47-1116.815.41.3715.916.7-0.86
Joel Anthony50490.270.230.050.019-61516.215.70.4416.316.4-0.14
Mike Miller46470.000.50-0.490.06-25-716.815.11.6416.316.5-0.15
Eddy Curry1416-0.040.54-0.590.05-36-919.215.43.8316.816.30.54
James Jones76-0.090.59-0.690.02-47-1118.715.82.9617.016.30.67
Norris Cole3837-0.310.81-1.12-0.02-1013-2317.514.92.5915.716.9-1.19

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Stuckey59590.17-0.670.840.112-5717.314.52.8716.714.52.25
Walker Russell88-0.07-0.430.370.02-30-315.516.5-0.9616.116.00.15
Jason Maxiell3334-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-2114.817.3-2.5616.115.90.16
Ben Wallace4041-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-63-918.015.03.0516.315.70.52
Jonas Jerebko4746-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.405-81315.417.5-2.0516.415.60.83
Austin Daye5958-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.382-5715.617.9-2.2615.716.6-0.96
Brandon Knight7879-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.381-4515.919.8-3.9315.817.7-1.93
Greg Monroe5857-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.31-41-516.915.41.5615.417.0-1.63
Damien Wilkins6363-0.930.43-1.36-0.61-118-1916.915.11.7715.816.3-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 96, HOU 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.28,092.0%
UTA 96, PHX 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.55,0.35,0.58,091.7%
TOR 102, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.58,091.4%