NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Excitement	6.9 [448]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): +11.7%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	1.2 [341]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -36.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	7	77%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.08
Cherokee Parks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.06	-0.02	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Felipe Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	37%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	61%	0.04	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.03
Obinna Ekezie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	17	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36	-0.36	-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	11	27%	-0.15	4	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.36	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	0.00	13	34%	-0.27	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	27.5	16.7	28.3	2.3	37.6	138.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -3.0%

VAN +35.3%

HOU -2.9%

VAN +20.3%

VAN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.2	106.7	101.1	101.7
season	15.9	15.4		99.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.0		103.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.9	12.5	15.9	18.0	15.4
HOU	16.1	15.2	17.6	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	74	75	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-10	24	14.8	18.4	-3.62	17.1	13.2	3.92
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	0	4	14.9	17.0	-2.12	16.4	16.3	0.11
Michael Dickerson	80	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	5	-6	14.9	19.5	-4.61	15.7	24.2	-8.59
Mike Bibby	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	5	-6	15.0	16.9	-1.96	16.1	17.8	-1.76
Dennis Scott	25	22	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-2	8	16.0	15.2	0.89	17.0	16.2	0.77
Milt Palacio	19	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-1	6	16.9	15.0	1.96	17.8	16.1	1.76
Cherokee Parks	14	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	4	-4	20.1	14.5	5.53	20.0	15.8	4.18
Bryant Reeves	58	59	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	-1	6	14.9	16.2	-1.27	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Felipe Lopez	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.28	-9	13	-22	16.6	14.8	1.75	15.2	17.0	-1.87
Obinna Ekezie	11	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	18.5	15.0	3.48	16.7	16.4	0.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	29	30	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-12	20	14.1	17.5	-3.35	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Matt Bullard	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	15.2	16.9	-1.72	12.5	16.6	-4.08
Anthony Miller	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	16.8	16.3	0.50	12.2	16.2	-3.97
Charles Barkley	13	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	3	-10	13.7	16.9	-3.18	12.8	15.9	-3.12
Shandon Anderson	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-9	14	16.6	16.1	0.57	16.4	13.9	2.52
Kenny Thomas	64	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	2	-8	17.7	13.4	4.33	15.8	14.5	1.30
Walt Williams	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.9	17.3	-1.33	16.0	14.4	1.59
Cuttino Mobley	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	16.4	16.4	0.01	15.4	15.4	0.08
Kelvin Cato	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.9	15.2	1.72	16.6	12.5	4.08
Steve Francis	71	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.36	-11	7	-18	16.8	15.0	1.75	15.2	15.9	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	92.9%
MIA 101, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	92.0%
SAC 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,0	91.8%