NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	8.5 [161]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): +16.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.8 [505]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -25.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	12	59%	0.25	3	-0.23	3	67%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	15	50%	0.04	5	-0.21	12	83%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.00	9	90%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	5	78%	0.26	2	-0.11	8	100%	0.07
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	14	61%	0.12	4	-0.20	5	80%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	11	52%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25	-0.25	-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	14	36%	-0.14	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.6	28.4	14.6	27.0	1.8	33.0	131.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.8%

PHX -1.3%

UTA +48.4%

PHX -18.2%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	18.0	13.6	15.7	104.3	102.2	100.5
season	17.2	14.6		99.4	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		103.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.5	17.5	17.5	17.7	18.0
PHX	13.9	13.8	12.5	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	62	60	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.33	18	-14	32	18.6	16.9	1.73	13.1	14.5	-1.45
Andrei Kirilenko	81	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	2	0	18.6	13.6	4.99	13.8	11.4	2.36
Raja Bell	57	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	6	-8	16.8	20.0	-3.13	13.6	13.6	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-4	12	18.1	18.0	0.06	13.2	14.0	-0.85
Mo Williams	35	33	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	6	-8	17.4	18.4	-0.97	12.8	14.0	-1.28
Greg Ostertag	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-2	8	18.5	17.6	0.90	13.3	13.9	-0.60
Jarron Collins	41	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	8	-12	17.4	18.6	-1.20	13.9	13.3	0.66
Michael Ruffin	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-2	8	19.9	16.8	3.10	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Mikki Moore	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	16.5	18.5	-2.01	13.8	13.5	0.27
Sasha Pavlovic	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	3	-2	17.1	18.1	-0.96	16.2	13.3	2.95
Raul Lopez	29	29	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.03	-14	18	-32	17.4	18.3	-0.85	14.6	13.1	1.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	10.4	13.9	-3.50	17.8	18.1	-0.28
Jake Voskuhl	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	0	-4	13.7	13.5	0.19	18.5	17.7	0.72
Howard Eisley	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-5	6	13.5	13.7	-0.29	16.9	19.7	-2.84
Casey Jacobsen	75	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-10	16	13.2	15.4	-2.20	17.4	21.1	-3.70
Leandro Barbosa	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	5	-14	14.2	13.0	1.23	20.0	16.5	3.44
Shawn Marion	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.1	10.1	3.96	18.3	16.1	2.24
Joe Johnson	85	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	13.3	17.8	-4.48	18.0	17.7	0.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	9	-22	13.7	12.9	0.77	17.9	18.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.55,0.35,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.58,0	92.1%
IND 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0	91.9%
MIA 101, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.7%