NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	80		Excitement	5.4 [716]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +23.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.6 [1188]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	4	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	13	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	6	17%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	5	25%	-0.04	5	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.01	12	82%	0.29	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	77%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.6	1.7	25.4	14.8	29.5	1.8	25.6	138.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +33.5%

LAC -0.8%

SEA +7.1%

SEA +16.1%

LAC -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	87.0	107.6	102.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.0	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.1		102.3	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	16.3	18.2	16.5	16.0
SEA	15.4	16.4	13.7	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Austin	50	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-15	11	16.0	16.1	-0.10	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Keith Closs	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-17	15	0.0	16.2	-16.22	0.0	15.4	-15.43
Lamond Murray	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-15	11	15.7	16.4	-0.66	15.6	14.8	0.80
Charles Smith	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-8	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.06	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Pooh Richardson	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-14	9	17.7	15.3	2.41	17.7	14.0	3.64
Darrick Martin	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-7	-5	15.5	17.1	-1.59	14.3	17.1	-2.86
Eric Piatkowski	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-11	3	16.1	16.0	0.06	15.5	14.6	0.88
Maurice Taylor	45	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-5	-9	16.0	16.1	-0.13	15.8	14.7	1.09
Rodney Rogers	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-4	-11	16.5	13.6	2.92	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Lorenzen Wright	53	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	1	-21	15.8	16.4	-0.64	15.4	15.1	0.25

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	54	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.11	24	-5	29	15.6	14.8	0.85	15.9	16.3	-0.47
Greg Anthony	36	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	2	15	15.7	15.0	0.71	16.3	15.9	0.43
Detlef Schrempf	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	7	5	15.7	13.9	1.76	16.8	13.7	3.13
Sam Perkins	37	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	6	7	15.6	15.1	0.51	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Gary Payton	62	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	15	-11	15.1	15.6	-0.50	15.9	16.3	-0.32
Jerome Kersey	20	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	12	-5	15.6	15.2	0.50	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Hersey Hawkins	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	11	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.37	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Aaron Williams	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	14	-9	14.7	15.5	-0.80	13.2	17.1	-3.89
Vin Baker	62	62	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	17	-15	15.4	15.1	0.29	16.5	15.1	1.40
Jim McIlvaine	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	18	-17	14.5	15.6	-1.05	17.4	15.5	1.94
George Zidek	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	10.1	15.7	-5.54	13.7	16.2	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 78, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%
LAL 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%