NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	78		Excitement	5.6 [709]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +23.8%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.7 [1023]		LVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): -21.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	89%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	20	47%	0.05	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	22	40%	-0.05	3	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.04	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.05	0.03	14	93%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	47%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	19	52%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	17	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.6	27.2	17.7	26.2	3.7	31.3	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.4%

DEN -7.5%

SAS +5.5%

SAS +12.2%

SAS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAS	NBA	DEN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	19.0	15.4	92.9	110.7	104.5
season	14.0	16.2		105.8	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	14.4	16.7	15.7	15.3
SAS	16.8	19.9	17.6	22.2	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	10.0	15.5	-5.45	18.3	19.0	-0.65
Marcus Camby	64	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	15.1	16.0	-0.89	18.9	19.1	-0.23
Linas Kleiza	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-7	-1	15.6	15.3	0.30	21.2	18.5	2.70
Steve Blake	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.1	16.4	-1.29	19.0	18.9	0.10
Anthony Carter	23	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-8	1	15.6	15.2	0.40	18.7	19.1	-0.43
Eduardo Najera	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-9	3	15.8	14.7	1.07	20.0	17.7	2.28
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	15.1	17.7	-2.61	19.3	15.7	3.55
Carmelo Anthony	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	-1	-13	15.3	15.3	0.04	18.5	23.5	-5.01
Nene	50	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.06	-19	4	-23	15.8	14.6	1.28	17.9	20.7	-2.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	61	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	18.5	20.2	-1.73	15.7	14.1	1.63
Bruce Bowen	44	44	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-5	25	19.3	18.6	0.74	15.8	14.8	0.95
Michael Finley	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	2	11	18.2	20.7	-2.50	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Fabricio Oberto	38	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	20.7	17.6	3.09	15.8	15.0	0.81
Manu Ginobili	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	13	-11	17.7	19.7	-2.02	15.7	15.1	0.67
Tony Parker	59	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	4	7	19.3	18.1	1.26	15.6	14.5	1.05
Jacque Vaughn	25	22	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	11	-7	18.1	19.3	-1.26	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Francisco Elson	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	7	1	17.4	19.8	-2.43	16.6	14.6	1.99
Brent Barry	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	12	-9	22.7	18.3	4.41	14.1	15.5	-1.47
Robert Horry	35	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	18	-21	19.4	18.6	0.80	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Matt Bonner	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	18.3	19.0	-0.65	10.0	15.5	-5.45
Beno Udrih	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	18.3	19.0	-0.65	10.0	15.5	-5.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ATL 86, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 80, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%