inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 94 Excitement5.8 [513] MVPBrandon Rush (GSW): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.4 [972] LVPCharles Jenkins (GSW): -21.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Rush0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.170.040.031283%0.1800.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.01-0.002257%0.111-0.03250%-0.01
Dorell Wright0.070,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.040.011456%0.112-0.05683%0.01
Chris Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mickell Gladness-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00150%-0.0000.0020%-0.05
Mikki Moore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.031248%-0.011-0.02743%-0.07
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.01312%-0.072-0.04250%-0.02
Charles Jenkins-0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.14-0.07-0.001533%-0.114-0.1000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.020.01985%0.1700.00250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.110.02973%0.264-0.128100%0.06
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.001064%0.162-0.055100%0.03
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.01560%0.0800.005100%0.02
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.030.041058%0.061-0.034100%0.01
Brian Cardinal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00367%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0220%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.05-0.031237%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.011453%0.034-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.526.417.428.30.829.4130.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +17.3%
DAL +30.9%
DAL +19.0%
GSW -19.0%
DAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.415.815.697.9109.5102.8
season15.215.5103.6101.6
opponent15.515.4100.9106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.713.814.515.614.4
DAL14.016.916.116.315.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wright440.00-0.500.50-0.124-141811.714.5-2.7510.216.0-5.77
Mikki Moore1717-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-9813.814.5-0.7513.416.3-2.88
Jeremy Tyler6969-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-4-214.713.71.0015.815.60.23
Dorell Wright6161-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-3-414.114.9-0.8316.414.61.85
Mickell Gladness2425-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-2-615.214.11.0414.816.1-1.27
Brandon Rush6462-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-1-814.115.0-0.8716.414.61.75
Dominic McGuire4644-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-100-1014.314.5-0.1615.516.0-0.48
Charles Jenkins7474-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-6214.214.9-0.6215.616.3-0.65
Klay Thompson7778-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-7414.613.41.2716.114.31.81
Richard Jefferson4441-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.29-6-4-214.714.10.6315.815.80.00

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter53550.61-0.110.720.0519-92815.416.3-0.8714.913.81.10
Delonte West64620.51-0.010.520.1911-11216.614.12.5415.412.52.87
Ian Mahinmi42430.400.100.300.0811-11214.816.5-1.6914.414.40.02
Jason Terry57580.360.140.220.0112-21415.116.8-1.6413.715.4-1.63
Rodrigue Beaubois28300.180.32-0.140.0064214.416.4-1.9714.214.5-0.22
Dirk Nowitzki51520.170.33-0.16-0.0164217.413.93.5714.714.00.75
Shawn Marion52550.150.35-0.200.0637-415.715.8-0.1114.214.7-0.52
Brendan Haywood30300.120.38-0.270.0628-615.515.9-0.4114.514.30.17
Jason Kidd45450.020.48-0.450.08-212-1415.915.60.2914.114.7-0.60
Brian Cardinal440.000.50-0.500.12-414-1810.216.0-5.7711.714.5-2.75
Yi Jianlian210.000.50-0.500.12-414-1813.515.8-2.339.014.4-5.44
Brandan Wright3434-0.010.51-0.520.11-414-1816.615.31.3113.914.7-0.82
Kelenna Azubuike1311-0.010.51-0.520.17-616-2215.815.80.0813.614.5-0.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 86, POR 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
DEN 78, SAS 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,194.5%
ORL 90, TOR 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.91,194.5%