inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 90 Excitement6.0 [594] MVPTerrence Ross (TOR): +19.4%
Toronto Raptors 93 Comeback1.2 [920] LVPAndrew Nicholson (ORL): -16.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.041184%0.275-0.149100%0.04
E'Twaun Moore0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.020.06-0.021155%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.021267%0.1000.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,00.08-0.050.03486%0.071-0.08667%-0.02
Josh McRoberts-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04-0.100.06-0.011045%0.145-0.1800%0.00
DeQuan Jones-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
JJ Redick-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14-0.06-0.080.00941%-0.072-0.07475%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.050.001030%-0.083-0.0900%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.110.07-0.01881%0.1900.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.080.08-0.000.06-0.02950%0.121-0.042100%0.05
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.01657%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Mickael Pietrus0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.01275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01968%0.072-0.0410%-0.03
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00945%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02943%0.022-0.055100%0.04
Ed Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001238%-0.041-0.012100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.07-0.061741%0.012-0.077100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.727.617.024.02.737.8135.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -11.3%
TOR +12.6%
TOR +8.7%
TOR +36.7%
TOR +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game14.716.815.497.8102.2104.1
season15.516.1100.3104.4
opponent15.315.3105.8107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.512.816.913.614.7
TOR18.017.214.417.716.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts129-0.03-0.470.440.06-30-314.114.7-0.6715.217.0-1.78
DeQuan Jones65-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-1-116.014.61.4311.617.1-5.53
Gustavo Ayon5453-0.13-0.370.23-0.378-111913.716.1-2.3717.116.40.69
Nikola Vucevic5960-0.22-0.280.05-0.14-30-314.714.7-0.0117.216.01.20
Arron Afflalo8180-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.373-6914.217.8-3.5817.313.53.73
Jameer Nelson8079-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.414-71114.317.3-3.0717.512.64.89
Maurice Harkless2223-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-63-917.913.74.2116.816.80.00
E'Twaun Moore4142-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-1-115.014.40.6515.817.7-1.84
JJ Redick6967-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.360-3313.916.9-3.0016.916.70.10
Andrew Nicholson3637-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-1411-2517.013.13.8815.617.7-2.12

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson70690.62-0.120.730.2911-81915.122.5-7.4114.415.3-0.86
DeMar DeRozan76760.58-0.080.660.358-51317.015.91.1514.515.5-1.01
Jose Calderon64640.310.190.130.2812-116.916.60.2814.714.7-0.02
Terrence Ross45450.230.27-0.040.35-47-1116.417.3-0.9313.615.7-2.12
Ed Davis59620.200.30-0.100.2003-317.715.22.5214.914.20.69
Alan Anderson48490.200.30-0.100.31-47-1117.615.91.6914.914.40.42
John Lucas III27280.190.31-0.130.1321116.616.9-0.2814.714.70.02
Mickael Pietrus36360.180.32-0.140.1221116.517.0-0.4915.414.21.24
Linas Kleiza24250.020.48-0.47-0.0112-116.517.0-0.5014.414.7-0.31
Jonas Valanciunas66-0.020.52-0.550.04-25-726.016.29.8220.014.35.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 94, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,194.5%
PHI 86, POR 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%
DAL 106, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,194.1%