NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	6.0 [594]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +19.4%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.2 [920]		LVP	Andrew Nicholson (ORL): -16.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	11	84%	0.27	5	-0.14	9	100%	0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	11	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0	0.08	-0.05	0.03	4	86%	0.07	1	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	-0.10	0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.14	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	9	41%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	8	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	9	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Ed Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.07	-0.06	17	41%	0.01	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	27.6	17.0	24.0	2.7	37.8	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -11.3%

TOR +12.6%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +36.7%

TOR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	16.8	15.4	97.8	102.2	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		100.3	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	12.8	16.9	13.6	14.7
TOR	18.0	17.2	14.4	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	12	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.2	17.0	-1.78
DeQuan Jones	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	16.0	14.6	1.43	11.6	17.1	-5.53
Gustavo Ayon	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-11	19	13.7	16.1	-2.37	17.1	16.4	0.69
Nikola Vucevic	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	0	-3	14.7	14.7	-0.01	17.2	16.0	1.20
Arron Afflalo	81	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	14.2	17.8	-3.58	17.3	13.5	3.73
Jameer Nelson	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	14.3	17.3	-3.07	17.5	12.6	4.89
Maurice Harkless	22	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	3	-9	17.9	13.7	4.21	16.8	16.8	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	41	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	15.0	14.4	0.65	15.8	17.7	-1.84
JJ Redick	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-3	3	13.9	16.9	-3.00	16.9	16.7	0.10
Andrew Nicholson	36	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	11	-25	17.0	13.1	3.88	15.6	17.7	-2.12

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-8	19	15.1	22.5	-7.41	14.4	15.3	-0.86
DeMar DeRozan	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-5	13	17.0	15.9	1.15	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Jose Calderon	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	2	-1	16.9	16.6	0.28	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Terrence Ross	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	7	-11	16.4	17.3	-0.93	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Ed Davis	59	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	3	-3	17.7	15.2	2.52	14.9	14.2	0.69
Alan Anderson	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.31	-4	7	-11	17.6	15.9	1.69	14.9	14.4	0.42
John Lucas III	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	1	1	16.6	16.9	-0.28	14.7	14.7	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	1	1	16.5	17.0	-0.49	15.4	14.2	1.24
Linas Kleiza	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	2	-1	16.5	17.0	-0.50	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Jonas Valanciunas	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	5	-7	26.0	16.2	9.82	20.0	14.3	5.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 86, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 106, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.1%