NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	5.6 [664]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +7.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.2 [1041]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -19.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kebu Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	18	51%	0.00	8	-0.15	5	80%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	11	25%	-0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	11	50%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	13	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	12	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	27.0	14.6	25.4	2.3	28.7	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.9%

POR +4.9%

POR +0.7%

POR +16.3%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	17.3	15.6	94.5	106.7	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.7	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	15.2	14.0	15.3	14.6
POR	15.5	16.1	18.7	19.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Walters	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	14.7	14.6	0.18	13.2	17.4	-4.19
Anthony Parker	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	14.7	14.6	0.18	13.2	17.4	-4.19
Tim Thomas	36	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	14.5	14.7	-0.18	19.6	15.6	3.98
Kebu Stewart	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	14.3	14.7	-0.38	12.5	18.5	-5.99
Terry Cummings	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.5	0.20	19.0	15.0	4.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	52	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-5	0	14.4	14.8	-0.33	15.3	19.6	-4.23
Allen Iverson	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	14.3	15.6	-1.30	17.6	16.1	1.50
Aaron McKie	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.0	14.9	-0.95	13.6	19.2	-5.56
Mark Davis	45	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	15.4	13.8	1.66	18.0	16.6	1.34
Theo Ratliff	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.3	0.43	18.8	13.9	4.93
Jim Jackson	81	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	14.6	14.1	0.54	17.3	16.7	0.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	44	43	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	15.9	18.5	-2.63	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Alvin Williams	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	16.8	18.2	-1.47	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Kenny Anderson	48	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	6	-2	19.1	15.1	3.96	15.2	13.8	1.42
Rasheed Wallace	64	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	3	4	17.7	16.0	1.71	15.6	11.9	3.73
Brian Grant	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	18.3	14.9	3.48	14.6	14.5	0.17
Kelvin Cato	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	8	-6	17.5	16.8	0.68	13.7	16.5	-2.82
Isaiah Rider	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	3	4	15.9	19.4	-3.51	14.9	14.1	0.83
Stacey Augmon	53	55	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	9	-8	17.0	17.6	-0.58	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Rick Brunson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	9.3	17.5	-8.20	8.5	14.7	-6.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DET 88, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,1	95.0%
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%