NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Excitement	5.1 [817]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +15.1%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.3 [1069]		LVP	Justin Reed (MIN): -11.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	12	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	11	68%	0.19	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05
Ronald Dupree	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0.05	11	52%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bracey Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Reed	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	37%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	8	69%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.06	16	66%	0.14	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	41%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.06	2	-0.07	11	55%	-0.05
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	30.0	16.4	24.7	2.7	29.2	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.4%

IND +15.9%

IND +4.5%

IND +2.6%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	17.3	16.8	15.6	90.6	106.0	104.4
season	16.1	16.0		101.0	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.5	17.3	17.3	16.9	17.3
IND	16.8	17.0	15.4	18.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-7	2	18.5	16.9	1.55	16.9	16.8	0.17
Ronald Dupree	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	17.3	17.3	0.02	17.1	16.6	0.51
Marcus Banks	68	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	17.9	14.7	3.21	16.5	18.1	-1.57
Trenton Hassell	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-9	6	16.0	19.1	-3.09	18.0	15.2	2.81
Justin Reed	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	16.7	18.1	-1.46	16.5	17.3	-0.76
Bracey Wright	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-9	6	16.4	18.3	-1.84	17.7	15.7	1.96
Mark Blount	37	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-6	0	18.7	16.1	2.58	16.9	16.7	0.21
Eddie Griffin	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	17.1	17.6	-0.50	16.3	17.9	-1.56
Marko Jaric	62	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.03	-21	9	-30	17.6	16.4	1.21	16.0	19.1	-3.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-5	22	16.7	17.3	-0.62	17.8	15.2	2.62
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-4	20	16.5	18.2	-1.70	17.5	16.4	1.05
Anthony Johnson	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-7	26	16.3	17.6	-1.31	18.1	16.0	2.07
Danny Granger	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	5	2	17.5	15.3	2.18	16.6	18.6	-1.99
Austin Croshere	38	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	7	-2	17.1	16.6	0.44	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Peja Stojakovic	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	16.7	17.0	-0.29	17.7	16.5	1.14
Jamaal Tinsley	37	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	13	-14	17.6	16.2	1.35	15.8	18.5	-2.68
Scot Pollard	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	8	-4	16.0	17.2	-1.16	18.6	16.6	2.05
Sarunas Jasikevicius	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	10	-8	17.8	16.7	1.16	16.0	17.5	-1.46
Eddie Gill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.0	17.0	-5.95	17.5	17.3	0.23
David Harrison	5	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	21	-30	18.2	16.7	1.48	14.8	17.4	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHI 86, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%