NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	4.9 [881]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +27.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.2 [1222]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.25	0.08	0.05	18	78%	0.28	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.07	6	-0.13	8	75%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.01	17	72%	0.27	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	12	74%	0.23	3	-0.05	15	87%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	31.2	15.6	26.2	1.8	34.0	136.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +26.3%

OKC +8.5%

OKC +5.4%

OKC +5.8%

OKC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.5	104.4	117.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.0		106.4	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.4	16.0	18.1	16.8	17.3
OKC	12.3	13.9	16.1	16.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-12	12	0.0	17.5	-17.51	0.0	14.7	-14.69
Kyrylo Fesenko	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-11	10	11.3	17.5	-6.18	16.5	14.6	1.85
CJ Miles	60	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-18	24	17.1	17.8	-0.68	15.3	13.4	1.83
Jeremy Evans	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	17.5	17.2	0.23	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Andrei Kirilenko	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-7	2	18.2	16.9	1.36	12.4	15.7	-3.26
Ronnie Price	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	16.7	17.6	-0.87	15.0	14.5	0.46
Earl Watson	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	17.6	16.7	0.87	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Gordon Hayward	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	17.0	17.8	-0.81	15.7	13.4	2.32
Paul Millsap	69	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-3	-6	17.4	17.0	0.41	15.0	13.6	1.35
Raja Bell	41	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	5	-22	17.4	17.2	0.23	14.1	15.2	-1.16
Al Jefferson	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.15	-14	2	-16	17.6	15.5	2.16	14.8	14.2	0.63

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	42	38	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	14.1	15.2	-1.07	17.9	16.9	0.96
James Harden	51	51	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-3	18	15.0	14.3	0.67	16.3	18.6	-2.26
Kevin Durant	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	14.9	13.8	1.14	17.3	17.5	-0.24
Russell Westbrook	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-1	14	15.1	13.7	1.39	17.2	17.5	-0.25
Nazr Mohammed	35	31	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	2	8	13.4	15.5	-2.06	17.8	17.1	0.76
Serge Ibaka	56	60	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	10	-8	15.4	13.4	2.01	17.0	17.8	-0.78
Eric Maynor	24	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	13	-14	13.7	15.1	-1.39	17.5	17.2	0.25
Thabo Sefolosha	47	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	14	-16	14.0	15.5	-1.53	18.1	16.4	1.74
Kendrick Perkins	47	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	18	-24	15.2	14.1	1.14	17.2	17.4	-0.16
Daequan Cook	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	15	-18	14.9	14.7	0.25	17.0	17.3	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 82, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.9%
HOU 82, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%