NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	4.5 [891]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +14.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1064]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -13.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	65%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	69%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	7	59%	-0.04	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	8	100%	0.21	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	11	74%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	47%	-0.04	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	68%	0.02	6	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	15	22%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	25.0	15.5	26.4	1.7	26.4	123.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.6%

UTA +4.4%

UTA +15.3%

UTA +12.0%

HOU -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.2	83.7	103.2	101.7
season	15.4	16.3		102.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.6		100.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	14.9	16.2	15.7	15.6
UTA	13.8	15.7	13.1	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	22	23	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-24	32	12.6	16.5	-3.84	16.4	13.5	2.88
Bryce Drew	41	40	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	14.6	16.4	-1.77	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Thomas Hamilton	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	10.1	16.2	-6.14	15.0	14.1	0.89
Tony Massenburg	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-17	18	11.5	16.8	-5.24	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Charles Barkley	67	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-5	-6	16.9	12.8	4.06	14.4	13.8	0.65
Kelvin Cato	40	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.3	14.2	0.15
Shandon Anderson	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.8	14.7	2.01	14.3	14.1	0.22
Hakeem Olajuwon	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	16.4	14.5	1.98	14.0	14.5	-0.56
Cuttino Mobley	69	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	15.3	16.4	-1.19	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Walt Williams	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	2	-20	16.6	14.1	2.55	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Steve Francis	61	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-1	-14	16.0	15.0	1.03	14.0	14.6	-0.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	73	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	4	8	14.3	13.9	0.45	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Greg Ostertag	57	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.10	12	4	8	13.8	14.8	-0.96	15.8	15.4	0.42
Jeff Hornacek	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	3	10	14.5	13.9	0.58	16.3	14.6	1.68
Bryon Russell	53	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	2	12	13.8	14.7	-0.82	16.3	14.6	1.75
Howard Eisley	52	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	6	4	14.5	13.9	0.64	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Jacque Vaughn	19	20	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	7	2	11.2	15.0	-3.75	17.4	15.2	2.25
John Stockton	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	12	-8	14.1	14.3	-0.23	15.8	15.4	0.41
Adam Keefe	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	12	-8	14.5	14.1	0.37	16.1	15.4	0.71
Pete Chilcutt	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	11	-6	14.1	14.3	-0.20	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Olden Polynice	31	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	13	-10	14.8	13.9	0.88	16.1	15.4	0.76
Scott Padgett	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.4	14.1	1.36	8.5	16.2	-7.74
Quincy Lewis	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	20	-24	16.6	13.8	2.85	10.9	16.5	-5.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 91, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 102, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%