inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 89 Excitement5.6 [699] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +19.8%
Toronto Raptors 106 Comeback1.2 [1169] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -14.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Neal0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.05-0.011254%0.1100.002100%0.02
Otto Porter0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.10-0.010.031168%0.0500.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.03850%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Oubre0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarell Eddie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Nene-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.020.03945%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Ramon Sessions-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00444%0.022-0.08887%0.01
Marcin Gortat-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.030.03845%-0.051-0.02475%0.00
Jared Dudley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00633%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
John Wall-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.06-0.011745%-0.025-0.13683%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.030.021481%0.253-0.058100%0.04
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.05-0.031260%0.1400.0010%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.050.01767%0.101-0.0210%-0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00262%0.0200.00475%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00959%0.094-0.08475%-0.01
Anthony Bennett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01936%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.00617%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.00425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.021350%-0.034-0.08875%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.835.615.023.61.834.0136.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +41.1%
WAS -1.6%
TOR +17.4%
WAS -8.3%
TOR +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game13.516.514.992.7110.4105.1
season13.816.1104.1107.2
opponent14.815.1104.6104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.812.315.014.213.5
TOR18.014.816.317.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre13140.10-0.600.710.071-181910.414.0-3.6412.217.2-4.98
DeJuan Blair550.00-0.500.500.03-1-16159.213.8-4.5714.216.6-2.39
Jarell Eddie78-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-15138.713.9-5.2013.616.7-3.10
Drew Gooden2020-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-181914.813.21.6017.616.21.49
John Wall7070-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-141114.211.82.3116.516.5-0.04
Marcin Gortat6463-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-141113.313.9-0.5616.616.20.39
Garrett Temple6463-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.12-6-11514.212.21.9717.614.43.16
Jared Dudley3939-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-3-1114.013.20.7516.516.50.03
Otto Porter7070-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-8-113.912.61.3117.015.02.07
Ramon Sessions3232-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-4-911.414.6-3.1415.517.0-1.45
Nene5152-0.46-0.04-0.430.01-16-1-1514.312.61.6716.616.30.28
Gary Neal4544-0.510.01-0.510.08-203-2313.113.9-0.7516.016.9-0.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson44440.60-0.100.69-0.0522-52717.016.10.9014.113.01.08
Bismack Biyombo35350.51-0.010.52-0.0419-22117.715.72.0114.513.01.55
Cory Joseph52530.450.050.400.011521315.218.0-2.7812.914.3-1.35
Terrence Ross63620.350.150.20-0.03134916.316.8-0.5813.613.30.32
Kyle Lowry69690.330.170.17-0.02125717.613.64.0014.411.42.95
DeMar DeRozan67670.210.29-0.070.07512-716.716.00.7213.513.6-0.13
James Johnson31310.100.40-0.300.01314-1116.116.6-0.5013.513.6-0.07
Jonas Valanciunas52530.040.46-0.430.09-219-2116.216.8-0.6013.513.50.04
Norman Powell650.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1313.316.7-3.349.213.8-4.57
Anthony Bennett440.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.716.5-0.758.513.7-5.25
Delon Wright550.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1514.216.6-2.399.213.8-4.57
Lucas Nogueira440.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.716.5-0.758.513.7-5.25
Luis Scola4848-0.100.60-0.690.05-522-2716.116.9-0.7713.413.6-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 80, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
LAL 75, MIN 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.2%
WAS 80, MEM 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.0%